Turning the Denver Broncos into a winner has been a tougher task than Sean Payton could’ve imagined when he ended his brief retirement and returned to coaching.
Even though Russell Wilson has improved from a woeful first season in Denver, the Broncos (1-4) keep finding ways to lose. The schedule doesn’t get any easier.
The Broncos visit defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City (4-1) on Thursday night and will face them again in Week 8. Peyton Manning was Denver’s quarterback the most recent time the Broncos beat Kansas City in 2015.
There’s no reason to think that streak of 15 successive losses will end when the Broncos line up against two-time NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes and KC in a prime-time matchup at Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas City is a 10½-point favourite, according to FanDuel Sportsbook.
Pro Picks, coming off its best week of the season, expects Payton to keep his team competitive but can’t see an upset.
KC, 30-22
San Francisco 49ers at Cleveland Browns
Line: 49ers minus 6½
The 49ers (5-0) are the NFL’s most complete team, but could be due for a slight letdown – meaning a victory by less than a double-digit margin – after dominating the Cowboys. If Deshaun Watson can’t play, the Browns (2-2) have no chance to stay close.
BEST BET: 49ERS, 26-17
Washington Commanders at Atlanta Falcons
Line: Falcons minus 2½
Will the Commanders (2-3) who started the season with two wins and pushed Philadelphia to overtime show up or will it be the team that was pounded by lowly Chicago? Desmond Ridder is coming off his most impressive performance in a comeback win for the Falcons (3-2).
UPSET SPECIAL: COMMANDERS, 23-20
Baltimore Ravens vs. Tennessee Titans (in London)
Line: Ravens minus 4
The Ravens (3-2) could be 5-0 if they didn’t botch the clock and a couple of plays. The Titans (2-3) are struggling to score and it seems only a matter of time before they turn to one of the younger quarterbacks to replace Ryan Tannehill.
RAVENS, 22-19
Carolina Panthers at Miami Dolphins
Line: Dolphins minus 13½
It’s been a disaster for first-year coach Frank Reich and rookie No. 1 pick Bryce Young as the winless Panthers (0-5) are banged-up and beat up. Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins (4-1) won’t have running back De’Von Achane but their high-flying offence has plenty of other playmakers.
DOLPHINS, 30-17
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears
Line: Vikings minus 2½
The Vikings (1-4) have already matched last season’s loss total with all four losses by seven points or fewer. They’ve had some bad luck along the way and now won’t have All-Pro wide receiver Justin Jefferson for a few weeks. Justin Fields has eight TD passes in the past two games for the Bears (1-4), who had a few extra days to prepare for this one.
VIKINGS, 24-20
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars
Line: Jaguars minus 4½
The Jaguars (3-2) are back home after a London sweep and aim to sweep the Colts (3-2). Gardner Minshew faces his former team as he fills in for rookie QB Anthony Richardson. Expect him to turn around and give the ball often to Zack Moss and Jonathan Taylor.
JAGUARS, 23-22
New Orleans Saints at Houston Texans
Line: Saints minus 1½
The Saints (3-2) need to build off handing Bill Belichick the worst home loss of his coaching career. Impressive rookie QB C.J. Stroud faces his toughest test with the Texans (2-3).
SAINTS, 20-16
Seattle Seahawks at Cincinnati Bengals
Line: Bengals minus 3
A healthy Joe Burrow made all the difference for the Bengals (2-3). And of course, an always-open Ja’Marr Chase. The Seahawks (3-1) are coming off a bye and are a dangerous team, but Cincinnati has no margin for error after a poor start.
BENGALS, 27-21
New England Patriots at Las Vegas Raiders
Line: Raiders minus 3
The Patriots (1-4) have been outscored 72-3 the past two weeks and Belichick has to find a way to keep the team from spiralling. There will be plenty of familiarity facing QB Jimmy Garoppolo and coach Josh McDaniels, the former Patriots offensive co-ordinator. A short work week after a Monday night win is a disadvantage for the Raiders (2-3).
PATRIOTS, 19-17
Detroit Lions at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Line: Lions minus 3
Jared Goff and the high-octane Lions (4-1) are off to an excellent start. So are the surprising Buccaneers (3-1), who had extra time to prepare for this one after a bye. It’ll be a big test for Todd Bowles and Tampa’s defence.
LIONS, 26-20
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams
Line: Rams minus 7
The Cardinals (1-4) play tough despite their talent and record. Cooper Kupp gave the Rams (2-3) a boost for a half last week until Philadelphia’s defence tightened up.
RAMS, 23-17
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets
Line: Eagles minus 7
Jalen Hurts and the Eagles (5-0) keep finding ways to win. They’ve got a tough challenge against a strong defence. The Jets (2-3) saved their season with a big win at Denver. They’ll need Zach Wilson to play at his best and mistake-free.
EAGLES, 24-19
New York Giants at Buffalo Bills
Line: Bills minus 14
The Bills (3-2) can’t use jet lag as an excuse this week. Nothing is going right for the struggling Giants (1-4). Brian Daboll’s familiarity with Buffalo can’t help.
BILLS, 32-13
Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Chargers
Line: Cowboys minus 2½
Dak Prescott and the Cowboys (3-2) have to rebound from a humiliating loss to the 49ers by going back to California. The Chargers (2-2) are coming off a bye and have back-to-back measuring stick games against Dallas and Kansas City.
Cowboys, 27-23
Note: All lines are current and subject to change before kickoff.
Last week: Straight up: 11-3. Against spread: 11-2-1
Overall: Straight up: 50-28. Against spread: 43-31-4.
Best bet: Straight up: 5-0. Against spread: 3-1-1.
Upset special: Straight up: 3-2. Against spread: 3-2.
Thursday: Straight up: 3-2. Against spread: 5-0.
Monday: Straight up: 5-2. Against spread: 5-1-1.