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Guessing the Giller: Who will take home Canadian literature's big prize? Add to ...

Canadian publishers may be dying and international houses rationalizing, but the literary show goes on, climaxing amid confusion on live television Tuesday night with the presentation of $50,000 Scotiabank Giller Prize for the best Canadian fiction of 2012. Perhaps reflecting the wider disarray, jurors for this fall’s three major fiction prizes named an unusually diverse group of titles for honours, forestalling the sort of buzz that built last year when Patrick deWitt’s The Sister Brothers and Esi Edugyan’s Giller-wining Half-Blood Blues dominated all lists. And perhaps reflecting the international composition of the Scotiabank Giller jury, which includes CanLit newcomers Roddy Doyle of Ireland and Gary Shteyngart of the United States, its shortlist is the clear outrider, bringing attention to names rarely if ever seen in such contests and ignoring others that are. And giving handicappers conniptions. But they can’t all be long shots. John Barber rates the contenders and how they are likely to fare when the winner is announced