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U.S. President Barack Obama speaks on U.S. Asian policy at Suntory Hall on November 14, 2009 in Tokyo, Japan.

Saturday, November 14, 2009 9:27 AM

Globalization 3.0

John Ibbitson

SINGAPORE — For Barack Obama, the world has “reached one of those rare inflection points in history” in which the global economy must rebalance itself or face strife and decline.

For Stephen Harper, not so much.

The President’s address in Tokyo on Saturday morning delivered a clear warning both to Americans and to the leaders here at the Asian Pacific Economic Cooperation forum: the days when an open American market fuelled growth in closed Asian economies is at an end. Only mutual reciprocity can ensure mutual prosperity.

For decades, Asians have produced and Americans have consumed. The result is a United States mired in economic crisis, personal debt, and trade deficits.

Americans and their government will have to save more and spend less, the President maintained. “It will also mean a greater emphasis on exports that we can build, produce, and sell all over the world,” he added, tellingly.

A brief bit of context: For much of the nineteenth and early twentieth century, Great Britain opened its doors to the world, embracing free trade, while the United States and others partially hid behind tariff walls, building their industrial base. Some analysts, in retrospect, have dubbed it Globalization 1.0

After the Second World War, the United States replaced Great Britain as the Great Receiver, while impoverished and shattered nations built or rebuilt their industrial infrastructure by selling into the American market.

The result was mutual prosperity, culminating in the 1990s’ Globalization 2.0. But the economic shocks of this decade have revealed America as the new Great Britain in decline: overextended, indebted, its economy ravaged by cheap but high-quality imports; its future uncertain.

Decline is not inevitable. But the next phase of globalism must entail rebalancing: the great new markets of South and East Asia must open themselves to American imports and promote consumer spending among their parsimonious citizens.

“For decades, the United States has had one of the most open markets in the world, and that openness has helped to fuel the success of so many countries in this region and others over the last century,” the President declared. “In this new era, opening other markets around the globe will be critical not just to America's prosperity, but to the world's as well.” Success will lead to Globalization 3.0. Failure does not bear contemplating.

A bold challenge, and one on which Canada’s future also depends. When asked what he thought about Mr. Obama’s declaration, however, Mr. Harper was noncommittal.

Canada has “overwhelmingly benefited” from 20th century globalization, the Prime Minister told reporters, during a brief media availability Saturday afternoon.

“The global economy really is very complex and is really beyond the capacity of any one country or any two countries to manage,” he said. (He was referring to China as the other country.)

That’s why forums like APEC are important in creating “some skeletal governance of the global economy.”

All true, but what Canadians need to know is how our country achieves equilibrium in Globalization 3.0. The whole purpose of Mr. Harper’s trip to India this week and China in December is to reinforce the need for greater economic co-operation between Canada and the Asian markets. We, too, have been shut out. We, too, need the opportunity to export more than trees and rocks and oil.

This is why the Prime Minister is visiting India and China. This is what Canadians need to talk about, amongst themselves and with their new Asian partners. The question is whether Mr. Harper is willing to lead that conversation. In Singapore, on Saturday, he was not.

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Jane Taber, senior political writer

Jane Taber

Jane Taber has been on Parliament Hill since the Mulroney days, first writing for the Ottawa Citizen in 1986. Since then, she's reported for a small television network, WTN, and for the National Post before joining The Globe’s parliamentary bureau in 2002. She is the senior political writer and also co-host of Question Period, which airs Sundays on CTV.

 
John Ibbitson

John Ibbitson

John Ibbitson started at The Globe in 1999 and has been Queen's Park columnist and Ottawa political affairs correspondent. Most recently, he was a correspondent and columnist in Washington, where he wrote Open and Shut: Why America has Barack Obama and Canada has Stephen Harper. He returned to Ottawa as bureau chief in 2009. Before joining The Globe, he worked as a reporter, columnist and Queen’s Park correspondent for Southam papers.

 

Steven Chase

Steven Chase has covered federal politics in Ottawa for The Globe since mid-2001. He's previously worked in the paper's Vancouver and Calgary bureaus. Prior to that, he reported on Alberta politics for the Calgary Herald and the Calgary Sun, and on national issues for Alberta Report. He's had ink-stained hands for far longer though, having worked as a paperboy for the (now defunct) Montreal Star, the Winnipeg Free Press, the Vancouver Sun and the North Shore News.

 
Deputy Ottawa bureau chief Campbell Clark

Campbell Clark

Campbell Clark has been a political writer in The Globe and Mail’s Ottawa bureau since 2000. Before that he worked for The Montreal Gazette and the National Post. He writes about Canadian politics and foreign policy. He stopped being fascinated by ShamWow commercials after that guy’s nasty incident in Florida, but still wonders if one can really pull a truck with that Mighty Putty stuff.

 

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Gloria Galloway

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Daniel Leblanc

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