The Globe and Mail

 

Blogs

Friday, November 20, 2009 12:34 PM

Negative T-bill yields

Simon Avery

Investors buying U.S. Treasury bills maturing in January and February Thursday were actually willing to pay the government to hold their money for them.

The yield on these securities fell into negative territory, sinking to minus 0.03 per cent. Who would make such an investment? It’s a rare phenomenon to see T-bills with negative interest rates, although it happened last year after Lehman Brothers went bankrupt and investors panicked for safety.

David Rosenberg, chief economist & strategist at Gluskin Sheff + Associates, says it happened again on Thursday after U.S. banks scrambled to add low-risk assets to their balance sheets before year end. “We can only say that if the markets and the macroeconomic backdrop have truly come back to normal, this is hardly a condition we would be seeing right now. The financial system is still far from healthy, even as bonus season looms on Wall Street,” he wrote in his morning note Friday.

But Vincent Fernando, a writer for The Money Game and an adviser to the multi-strategy fund Railay Capital Partners, says this bit of fall cleaning by the banks should not be blown out of proportion.

“This time around it appears there is simply too much money that wants to sit tight and look respectable come year-end. Which means that we shouldn't read too much from the negative T-bill yield and this will eventually rebound back to at least 0 per cent, once the year-end regulatory dance comes to an end.”

Latest Comments

Markets Blog Contributors

David Berman

David Berman

David Berman has been writing about business and investing since 1995. He began his career at Canadian Business magazine, where he wrote full-length features on a range of topics, from goose slaughterers to broadcasters. Later, he moved to MoneySense magazine, where his emphasis turned to investing. More recently, he worked at the Financial Post as an investing writer and daily columnist. He has a bachelor of arts degree from the University of Toronto and studied journalism at Ryerson University.

 

David Parkinson

David Parkinson has been covering business and financial markets since 1990, and has been with The Globe and Mail since 2000. A Calgary native, he received a Southam Fellowship from the University of Toronto in 1999-2000, studying international political economics.

 
Globe and Mail Reporter Simon Avery.

Simon Avery

Simon Avery has covered telecom and technology for the Globe since 2004. Previously, he was a staff reporter for The Associated Press in Los Angeles and for The Wall Street Journal in San Francisco. He covered the boom and bust in Silicon Valley for the Financial Post between 1998 and 2001. Mr. Avery holds a Master's degree in journalism from Columbia University and a Bachelor of Arts in English and political science from the University of Western Ontario.