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Friday, November 20, 2009 04:37 PM

Shirley Won

WHAT ARE WE LOOKING FOR?

Leaders among Canadian-listed equity exchange-traded funds (ETFS) this year.

Global stock markets have staged a sharp comeback after last year's market collapse, and ETFs are one way to play the rebound. ETFs are similar to mutual funds but trade like stocks. There are brokerage fees to pay when buying ETFs, but they can be low when dealing with a discount broker.

Top 30 Equity ETFs so far this year
ETF Ticker YTD
% rtn
Nov. 19
2008
% rtn
Claymore BRIC CBQ-T 74.5 -57.6
Claymore S&P/TSX Gbl Mining CMW-T 59 -38.8
Claymore Oil Sands Sector CLO-T 54.4 -54.2
Source: Globe Investor

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Thursday, November 19, 2009 08:31 PM

John Heinzl

What are we looking for?

Yesterday we looked at Canadian stocks that scored highest on RBC Dominion Securities' quality rankings. These rankings are based on a broad range of measures in four categories: growth, value, earnings predictability and momentum.

Today we'll turn our attention to U.S. stocks.

Russell 1000 Higher-quality U.S. stocks
Company Ticker Sector Decile rank
in U.S. Universe
- Overall
CYCLICALS
Sigma-Aldrich SIAL-Q Materials 1
* for next 12 months; Source: RBC Capital Markets Quantitative Research. As of October 31, 2009.

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Wednesday, November 18, 2009 06:50 PM

John Heinzl

What are we looking for?

The market's impressive run since March has been led by lower-quality stocks – those that were driven into the ground during the financial crisis, but which have come roaring back as the economic doomsday scenario lifted.

But lately, investors have started rotating into higher-quality names, says Myles Zyblock, chief institutional strategist at RBC Dominion Securities. Today we'll look for Canadian companies deemed to be of the highest quality according to a three-stage screening process developed by RBC.

High-quality Canadian stocks
Company Ticker Sector Decile rank
in Cdn Universe
- Overall
CYCLICALS
ShawCor Ltd. Cl A SCL.A-T Energy 1
* for next 12 months; Source: RBC

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Tuesday, November 17, 2009 07:12 PM

Scott Adams

What are we looking for?

Let's take another look at forecasting dividend growth stocks, but look at the best ones that are in the S&P 500 index.

Bloomberg dividend growth projections for S&P 500
Company Ticker Price US$
Nov. 16
Dividend
indicated
gross
yield %
Simon Property SPG-N 77.58 0.65
Host Hotels HST-N 11.55 0.00
Pulte Homes Inc PHM-N 10.34 0.00
Source: Bloomberg

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Monday, November 16, 2009 08:14 PM

Scott Adams

What are we looking for?

Growing dividends are an investor's best friend. Dividends can help you pay less in taxes and studies have shown that companies that regularly increase their dividends outperform the market.

Bloomberg dividend growth projections for Canada
Company Ticker Price $
Nov. 13
Dividend
indicated
gross
yield %
First Quantum FM-T 71.79 0.22
Cdn Oil Sands COS.UN-T 30.42 4.59
SNC-Lavalin Grp SNC-T 49.10 1.22
Source: Bloomberg

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Friday, November 13, 2009 07:51 PM

Shirley Won

What are we looking for?

Leaders and laggards over the past five years.

Given that some managers may engage in a game of musical chairs between firms, five years is a decent period to look at long-term performance.

Keep in mind this is a snapshot in time, and includes what the industry describes as an “end-date bias.” Current numbers also reflect the sharp rebound in stock markets from the dismal March lows.

Top and Bottom 15 Funds as of Oct. 31, 2009
Fund name YTD
% rtn
Oct. 31
5-yr
% rtn
Oct. 31
Top 15
Salida Multi-Strategy Hedge 142.30% 27.60%
Dynamic Power Hedge Fund-F 135.60% 26.00%
* Salida will not release MER. **Dynamic Power Hedge includes performance fees. ***CI Global Opportunities closed to new investors. Source: Globe Investor, companies

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Thursday, November 12, 2009 06:55 PM

Gordon Edall

What are we looking for?

Now that we are in the final few innings of earnings season, Number Cruncher is taking a look back at the quarter that was, and highlighting some of the outliers that stood out.

Yesterday we looked at the companies in the S&P/TSX composite index that managed to push past analyst estimates for profit this quarter.

Today, we're turning our eye to companies that haven't quite measured up to the expectations set by the Street.

Negative earnings surprises this quarter for the S&P/TSX composite index
Company Ticker $
price
(Nov. 12)
3-mo %
price chg
Methanex Corp. MX-T 19.00 4.80
Onex Corporation OCX-T 23.78 8.04
Trinidad Drilling TDG-T 6.92 35.95
n.m.*: Not meaningful. Source: Bloomberg, Globe Investor

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Wednesday, November 11, 2009 07:03 PM

Gordon Edall

What are we looking for?

After turning our eye to the earnings picture for the S&P 500 this quarter, we're going to shift our focus to what's been happening on the S&P/TSX composite index.

Today, we're concentrating on companies that managed to top the best guesses on the Street with their earnings report. Tomorrow, we'll focus on companies that weren't quite able to hit the marks analysts had chalked up.

Positive earnings surprises this quarter for the S&P/TSX composite index
Company Ticker $
price
(Nov. 11)
3-mo %
price chg
Precision Drilling PD.UN-T 7.30 19.28
Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH-T 376.30 7.31
ARC Energy Trust AET.UN-T 20.85 20.59
n.m.*: Not meaningful. Source: Bloomberg, Globe Investor

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Tuesday, November 10, 2009 07:01 PM

Gordon Edall

What are we looking for?

As earnings season tails off for this quarter, we're delving into the numbers to pull out some of the companies that came in ahead of expectations, as well as a few of the names that didn't fare quite so well.

Yesterday, we looked at the companies in the S&P 500 index that topped profit estimates this time around, and today we're turning our eye to companies that came up short of the profit bar the Street had set.

Negative earnings surprises to date for the S&P 500 this quarter
Company Ticker US$
price
(Nov. 10)
3-mo %
price chg
MEMC Electronic Materials WFR-N 12.93 -25.43
Nisource NI-N 13.59 2.64
Sunoco Inc. SUN-N 27.52 5.04
n.m.*: Not meaningful. Source: Bloomberg, Globe Investor

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Monday, November 9, 2009 07:07 PM

Gordon Edall

What are we looking for?

Earnings season is beginning to wind down, and here at Number Cruncher we thought we'd take a look back at the quarter that was. We'll highlight some of the winners, and some of the laggards, as companies struggled to shake off the lingering effects of the recession.

More than 440 companies in the S&P 500 have tabled their results for this quarter and 18 more are on tap this week.

Today, we're concentrating on companies that topped the best guesses on the Street. Tomorrow, we'll focus on the companies that weren't quite able to hit the marks analysts had chalked up.

Positive earnings surprises to date for the S&P 500 this quarter
Company Ticker US$
price
(Nov. 9)
3-mo %
price chg
Caterpillar Inc. CAT-N 57.60 25.58
Dynegy DYN-N 1.93 5.18
AK Steel Holding AKS-N 16.96 -17.18
Source: Bloomberg, Globe Investor

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Number Cruncher Contributors

Scott Adams

Scott Adams is the investment editor for Report On Business and Globe Investor. He has been a business journalist for more than 10 years, worked as an associate analyst on Bay Street and has been The Globe and Mail Investment Editor since spring 2007.

 

Rob Carrick

Rob Carrick has been writing about personal finance, business and economics for close to 20 years. He joined The Globe and Mail in late 1996 as an investment reporter and has been personal finance columnist since November 1998.

 

John Heinzl

John Heinzl has been covering business and financial markets for the Globe and Mail since 1990.

 

Steve Ladurantaye

Steve Ladurantaye wrote about technology companies in Ottawa before reporting for the Peterborough Examiner and Kingston Whig-Standard, where he won a National Newspaper Award for explanatory journalism. After joining the Globe and Mail in 2007, his work has regularly appeared in Report On Business and Globe Investor Magazine.

 

David Parkinson

David Parkinson has been covering business and financial markets since 1990, and has been with The Globe and Mail since 2000. A Calgary native, he received a Southam Fellowship from the University of Toronto in 1999-2000, studying international political economics.

 

Shirley Won

Shirley Won covers the fund industry and investments. She joined the Globe and Mail in 1996, and has also worked at the Montreal Gazette and Canadian Press.

 

Gordon Edall

Gordon Edall is the deputy investment editor for Report On Business and Globe Investor. Prior to joining The Globe and Mail in fall 2006, he worked for BNN producing TV shows including Squeezeplay and Market Call.