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Wednesday, April 15, 2009 04:48 PM

Olympic euphoria extends to one lonely fund

Shirley Won

WHAT ARE WE LOOKING FOR?

Funds playing China's booming economy that are avoiding plenty of red ink.

With the 2008 Beijing Olympics opening in a couple of weeks, the euphoria over this event is not being carried over to the Chinese stock market.

The bubble finally burst last fall, sending the Shanghai stock exchange composite index plunging 53 per cent by yesterday from its peak of 6,092.06 points in October.

TODAY'S SEARCH

We examined the China stock funds (in the miscellaneous category) as well as both the Asia-Pacific and Asia Pacific ex-Japan equity funds, which have invested in Chinese or Hong Kong companies.

Many firms offering A-shares on the Shanghai exchange, which are only open to Chinese citizens and some institutional investors, also have H-shares trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. H-shares typically trade at a discount to their mainland peers. There are also Hong Kong-incorporated companies that do business in China.

We focused on the one-year and compounded annual returns for three and five years. We excluded funds with less than a one-year record; denominated in U.S. dollars, and other classes of the same fund.

SO WHAT DID WE TURN UP?

One lonely fund.

The $2.9-million PRO FTSE RAFI Hong Kong China Index-A fund, which was launched in April, 2007, was the only one in the black for the year ended June 30th. It was still up 2 per cent.

Unlike conventional index funds whose company weightings are based on market value, the stock weightings in this fund are tied to fundamentals like sales, cash flow, book value and dividends.

With the fundamental-index methodology, investors may “not get hit as hard as certain portfolios or the market” in pullbacks, says Nikki Chan, a research analyst at Pro-Financial Asset Management.

While the fund was also up 13.8 per cent for the 12 months ended May 31, it is not clear whether it can continue to stay in the black at the end of July.

In contrast, the $103.2-million Excel China Fund , which garnered an eye-popping 83.2-per-cent return in calendar 2006, plummeted 22.4 per cent for the year ended June 30. Over five years, it still has managed a strong average annual return of 15.7 per cent.

The fund which has the best five-year record is the $345.4-million AGF China Focus Class , managed by Tokyo-based Nomura Asset Management. It has racked up an average annual return of 21.1 per cent.

And for now, the three-and five-year average annual returns of all the funds are still nicely in the black.





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Scott Adams

Scott Adams is the investment editor for Report On Business and Globe Investor. He has been a business journalist for more than 10 years, worked as an associate analyst on Bay Street and has been The Globe and Mail Investment Editor since spring 2007.

 

Rob Carrick

Rob Carrick has been writing about personal finance, business and economics for close to 20 years. He joined The Globe and Mail in late 1996 as an investment reporter and has been personal finance columnist since November 1998.

 

John Heinzl

John Heinzl has been covering business and financial markets for the Globe and Mail since 1990.

 

Steve Ladurantaye

Steve Ladurantaye wrote about technology companies in Ottawa before reporting for the Peterborough Examiner and Kingston Whig-Standard, where he won a National Newspaper Award for explanatory journalism. After joining the Globe and Mail in 2007, his work has regularly appeared in Report On Business and Globe Investor Magazine.

 

David Parkinson

David Parkinson has been covering business and financial markets since 1990, and has been with The Globe and Mail since 2000. A Calgary native, he received a Southam Fellowship from the University of Toronto in 1999-2000, studying international political economics.

 

Shirley Won

Shirley Won covers the fund industry and investments. She joined the Globe and Mail in 1996, and has also worked at the Montreal Gazette and Canadian Press.

 

Gordon Edall

Gordon Edall is the deputy investment editor for Report On Business and Globe Investor. Prior to joining The Globe and Mail in fall 2006, he worked for BNN producing TV shows including Squeezeplay and Market Call.