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Crescent Point Energy (Handout)
Crescent Point Energy (Handout)


Crescent Point Energy showing few signs of a reversal Add to ...

Hi Lou,

Always love reading your analysis and outlook on the different topics that are presented to you– great work. I also learned something today that I can listen to you on AM 640 – what time of the day do you normally have your session and is this available for us Edmonton folks?

I was wondering if you could take a moment and give your perspective on Crescent Point and Veresen . They have always been great performers, so I am especially astonished at the punishment that they have take on their stock. Great management teams in place with exemplary past operational performance, yet they are the baby in the bathwater toss. Is there something I am totally missing here, or is this the typical “ fear “ reaction/syndrome to downward markets when everything gets tossed out?

Any event, always a pleasure to hear from you.

Thanks Lou, stay well,



Hey Angelo,

Thanks for the assignment and your kind words. Here is the link to AM640 so you can avail yourself of my contributions to the John Oakley Show.

Today I will examine the case for Crescent Point Energy Corp. (CPG-T), and on Friday I will take a look at Veresen Inc. (VSN-T).

This will be the eighth time since 2010 that I have analyzed the particulars for CPG. The last was Oct. 23, 2015 on a request from Laurie. The shares were trading for $18.46 and offering a dividend yield of 6.5 per cent. Laurie wanted a second opinion on how to proceed on a choice between CPG and Cardinal Energy Ltd. (CJ-T).

It was advised that, on a market cap and average daily volume basis, CPG was the pick out of the two. In retrospect, that was the right call. Although both are down, CPG is down substantially less.

It was also observed that CPG was labouring under an established downtrend but had caught a bounce off a 52-week low of $11.31. Concurrently, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and the relative strength index (RSI) generated buy signals as the stock was moving out of an oversold position. The stock was holding onto a thin ledge of support at $18.00 and there was little evidence of a trend reversal developing in the near term.

Another probe of CPG will give you another perspective on this stock.

Desktop users click on image to enlarge

The three-year chart depicts a stock that has continued to struggle under an established downtrend. After the Oct. 23 post, CPG wasn’t able to hold support near $18.00 and tracked lower to $12.21 on Jan. 21.

The MACD and the RSI generated buy signals off the January low as the stock advanced to its current value. Make note that the dividend yield is now 7.59%

Desktop users click on image to enlarge

The six-month chart highlights the resistance near $17.00 that the shares will have to overcome if we hope to see more from this move. At this point there is scant evidence that we can expect a trend reversal.

If you have missed anything in your analysis, it’s that there is a war being fought for domination of the global fossil fuel industry, and like any conflict there is always collateral damage suffered by noncombatants.

Next time I will analyze Veresen Inc.

Make it a profitable day and happy capitalism!

Have your own question for Lou? Send it in to lou@happycapitalism.com.

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Follow on Twitter: @louschizas

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