What are we looking for?
Last week we went in search of dividend-paying Canadian stocks that appear to be in a good position to raise their payouts. Today we apply a similar approach to U.S. stocks.
To identify promising firms, our friend Craig McGee, senior consultant at CPMS Morningstar Canada, looked for companies that are paying out a lot in dividends and that have recently hiked their payouts, but still have sufficient earnings and cash flow to further expand their yield.
How we did it
Mr. McGee filtered the CPMS database for companies incorporated in the United States that met three criteria.
First, the total of each stock’s expected regular dividends on common stock for the next four quarters had to be greater than $500-million (U.S.).
Second, each stock’s expected yield had to be greater than 3 per cent.
Finally, the change in expected versus trailing dividends for each stock had to be greater than 1 per cent.
Mr. McGee looked for the 20 companies with the lowest payout ratios, based upon both their expected earnings per share (EPS) and their cash flow per share (CFPS). A low payout ratio indicates a firm is dishing out a relatively small amount of its earnings or cash flow as dividends.
He calculated expected dividends by taking the most recently announced dividend and multiplying by the number of payment periods in a year.
More about CPMS
CPMS, a division of Morningstar Canada, provides quantitative North American equity research and portfolio analysis to primarily institutional clients. It covers more than 700 Canadian and 2,200 U.S. stocks, and spends a lot of time adjusting for unusual accounting items in each company’s quarterly results to make sure screens can perform correctly.
What we found
The 20 companies listed here would seem to be in a good position to raise dividends. Remember, though, that earnings and cash flow can vary from year to year so payout ratios should be treated only as a guide, not as an inflexible number. Do your own research before buying any of the stocks listed here.
U.S. stocks with rising dividends, low payout ratios
|3||JPMorgan Chase & Co.||JPM-N||27.99%|
|6||Northrop Grumman Corp.||NOC-N||31.45%|
|8||Cisco Systems Inc.||CSCO-Q||32.38%|
|9||Newmont Mining Corp.||NEM-N||40.72%|
Source: Morningstar Canada
|3||JPMorgan Chase & Co.||JPM-N||27.99%||21.54%||3.24%||5,782.0||1.52||1.15||32.2%|
|6||Northrop Grumman Corp.||NOC-N||31.45%||21.32%||3.13%||526.3||2.20||2.15||2.3%|
|8||Cisco Systems Inc.||CSCO-Q||32.38%||28.01%||3.21%||3,619.6||0.68||0.44||54.5%|
|9||Newmont Mining Corp.||NEM-N||40.72%||24.57%||4.42%||835.6||1.70||1.40||21.4%|
|11||General Dynamics Corp.||GD-N||33.33%||32.27%||3.28%||792.2||2.24||2.00||12.0%|
|13||General Electric Co.||GE-N||45.24%||26.13%||3.30%||7,908.3||0.76||0.70||8.6%|
|14||NextEra Energy Inc.||NEE-N||53.88%||26.18%||3.37%||1,116.7||2.64||2.40||10.0%|
|15||Dupont EI De Nemours||DD-N||44.05%||33.32%||3.53%||1,604.8||1.72||1.70||1.2%|
|16||Lockheed Martin Corp.||LMT-N||51.40%||29.83%||4.84%||1,488.5||4.60||4.15||10.8%|