What we’re looking for
The best performing investing style of 2012.
To find what’s in style, we turned to S&P Capital IQ, which tracks eight strategies or “style indicators,” as it calls them. The winner so far this year is one based upon fundamental valuations, which has produced a 16.7 per cent return.
How it works
Jamie Hynes, sales director with S&P Capital IQ, screened the Capital IQ global database for Canadian stocks that ranked highest on six factors (three of which are shown here) that make up the Valuations Style Indicator:
-low share price to book value per share;
-low share price to free cash flow per share;
-low share price to forward earnings per share;
-low share price to earnings adjusted for estimated long-term earnings growth and dividend yield;
-high EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) to enterprise value (a company’s market capitalization plus net debt);
-low share price to operating cash flow (relative to companies in same industry).
In the accompanying chart, a stock’s ranking on these factors is given in terms of percentiles of the S&P/TSX composite. A stock with a percentile ranking of 1 is in the top 1 per cent of the market for that criterion; one with a percentile ranking of 100 is in the bottom 1 per cent.
More about S&P Capital IQ
S&P Capital IQ offers a comprehensive set of tools for fundamental analysis of global securities, idea generation and workflow management. Its Web- and Excel-based platform provides access to both real-time and historical information on companies, markets, transactions and people around the world.
What we found
Many of the top 20 stocks in the valuations-based model have done poorly over the last year. This is typical of any value-based strategy – the stocks that are today’s biggest bargains tend to be ones that have tumbled out of favour and are therefore cheap.
To make sure you’re not buying a “value trap” that is cheap for a good reason, you should do your own research before buying any of the names listed here. You should also be prepared to be patient. While a value-based investing strategy has produced good results over time, no style is always in fashion.
S&P Capital IQ's Valuations Style Indicator
| Company | Ticker | Closing price $ (Nov. 6) | Mkt. cap. ($ mil.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dorel Industries Inc. | DII.B-T | 37.67 | 1,188.20 |
| Westjet Airlines Ltd. | WJA-T | 17.96 | 2,402.50 |
| Aecon Group Inc. | ARE-T | 11.42 | 637.4 |
| Pacific Rubiales Energy | PRE-T | 23.42 | 6,921.50 |
| Cott Corp. | BCB-T | 8 | 761.6 |
| Dundee Corp. | DC.A-T | 25.81 | 1,412.70 |
| Quebecor Inc. | QBR.B-T | 35.24 | 2,211.20 |
| Manulife Financial Corp. | MFC-T | 12.52 | 22,802.20 |
| Genworth MI Canada Inc. | MIC-T | 21.06 | 2,078.50 |
| Inmet Mining Corp. | IMN-T | 56.76 | 3,937.20 |
Unless indicated otherwise, all values are percentile rankings relative to the S&P/TSX composite index (1 is best; 100 is worst); Source: S&P Capital IQ
| Company | Ticker | Closing price $ (Nov. 6) | Mkt. cap. ($ mil.) | Price to book | Price to CF | Forward P/E | Div. yield % | % total rtn. (1 yr.) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorel Industries Inc. | DII.B-T | 37.67 | 1,188.20 | 12 | 10 | 34 | 3.2 | 57 |
| Westjet Airlines Ltd. | WJA-T | 17.96 | 2,402.50 | 44 | 9 | 26 | 1.8 | 35.6 |
| Aecon Group Inc. | ARE-T | 11.42 | 637.4 | 28 | 18 | 12 | 2.5 | 28.2 |
| Pacific Rubiales Energy | PRE-T | 23.42 | 6,921.50 | 54 | 38 | 7 | 1.9 | 10.1 |
| Cott Corp. | BCB-T | 8 | 761.6 | 30 | 9 | n/a | 6.1 | 8.4 |
| Dundee Corp. | DC.A-T | 25.81 | 1,412.70 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5.6 |
| Quebecor Inc. | QBR.B-T | 35.24 | 2,211.20 | 34 | 11 | 22 | 0.6 | 4.7 |
| Manulife Financial Corp. | MFC-T | 12.52 | 22,802.20 | 16 | 1 | 16 | 4.2 | 2.2 |
| Genworth MI Canada Inc. | MIC-T | 21.06 | 2,078.50 | 7 | n/a | 5 | 6.1 | -3.9 |
| Inmet Mining Corp. | IMN-T | 56.76 | 3,937.20 | 22 | 17 | 15 | 0.4 | -7.8 |
| Sherritt Int'l Corp. | S-T | 4.81 | 1,428.30 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 3.2 | -14.3 |
| Trinidad Drilling Ltd. | TDG-T | 6.8 | 821.8 | 14 | 48 | 8 | 2.9 | -14.9 |
| Transcontinental Inc. | TCL.A-T | 10.41 | 818.4 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 5.6 | -15.1 |
| Savanna Energy Services | SVY-T | 6.9 | 591.3 | 5 | 42 | 10 | 5.2 | -16.3 |
| Celestica Inc. | CLS-T | 7.25 | 1,487.00 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 0 | -17.3 |
| Nevsun Resources Ltd. | NSU-T | 4.7 | 934.3 | 41 | 4 | 31 | 2.1 | -19.7 |
| Major Drilling Group Int'l | MDI-T | 10.41 | 823.9 | 39 | 32 | 6 | 1.9 | -24.2 |
| Calfrac Well Services Ltd. | CFW-T | 22.68 | 1,014.40 | 32 | 64 | 10 | 4.4 | -26.7 |
| Research In Motion Ltd. | RIM-T | 8.97 | 4,631.80 | 2 | 1 | 98 | 0 | -53.5 |
| Alacer Gold Corp. | ASR-T | 5.39 | 1,546.30 | 17 | 13 | 26 | 0 | -56 |
S&P Capital IQ's Valuations Style Indicator
- DII.B-T
- WJA-T
- ARE-T
- PRE-T
- BCB-T
- DC.A-T
- QBR.B-T
- MFC-T
- MIC-T
- IMN-T
- S-T
- TDG-T
- TCL.A-T
- SVY-T
- CLS-T
- NSU-T
- MDI-T
- CFW-T
- RIM-T
- ASR-T
