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Number Cruncher

Telecoms and utilities with big-money appeal

From Wednesday's Globe and Mail

What are we looking for?

We want to know where the professionals are putting their money. Specifically, we are looking for the stocks that institutional investors are buying, or likely to buy.

What we found

Today’s screen looks at Canadian and U.S.-listed telecoms and utilities. Running Canadian listings only, we generated only five names that ranked in the top 90th percentile. So the screen has been expanded to include both Canadian and U.S. stocks that rate in the top 10 per cent of all equities in their industry.

More about today’s screen

The data comes from StarMine, a Thomson Reuters service that ranks analysts and gathers earnings estimate data to which it applies proprietary research to detect momentum and other factors.

The measurement we are using here is called the StarMine SmartHoldings model. The model is based on an assessment of stocks whose fundamental factors, such as price-to-earnings and debt-to-equity ratios, most closely align with the buying patterns used by institutional investors.

The underlying assumption of the model is that institutional investors buy based on a particular set of criteria that they apply to stocks. Using a proprietary algorithm, StarMine claims to have deconstructed the formulas used by a large number of institutional investors. It then aggregates the results, which it in turn applies to stocks around the world. “The result is a predictive model that accurately predicts which stocks will see an increase or decrease in institutional ownership,” StarMine says.

Today’s screen lists the stocks by their percentile rank relative to others in the telecom and utilities industries in Canada and the U.S. These equities are the ones most likely to see an increase in institutional ownership, according to StarMine. The screen also shows the stocks’ percentile ranking versus all other stocks in Canada and the U.S. Lastly, it rates them by their relative appeal to institutional investors compared with all global stocks. For fun, we have also listed analysts’ upgrades and downgrades over the past 60 days, to see how outlooks of the buy side and the sell side might compare.

Thursday, we will run a screen using the StarMine SmartHoldings model that looks at financial stocks.

An Institutional Buyer's Shopping List in Telecom and Utilities
Company Ticker Price
(Oct. 17)
$ (local)
52-wk
high
$ (local)
52-wk
low
$ (local)
SmartHoldings
Industry
rank
(percentile)
Cia Energetica De Minas Gerais CIG-N 14.91 20.87 14.46 100
California Water Service Group CWT-N 17.83 19.21 16.89 100
Sempra Energy SRE-N 52.32 55.50 45.59 100
Telecom Argentina SA TEO-N 20.23 26.92 17.38 100
Cascal NV CCALF-PK 6.19 6.73 5.76 100
TransAlta Corp. TA-T 22.18 23.24 19.45 99
CPFL Energia SA CPL-N 23.59 30.56 22.15 99
China Mobile Ltd. CHL-N 48.03 53.71 43.77 97
Chesapeake Utilities Corp. CPK-N 39.80 42.89 36.14 97
Delta Natural Gas Inc. DGAS-Q 29.50 33.69 28.31 97
AboveNet Inc. ABVT-N 58.04 78.07 50.71 96
Nippon Telegraph And Telephone NTT-N 25.18 25.28 22.05 96
Exelon Corp. EXC-N 42.73 44.62 39.36 96
American Electric Power Inc. AEP-N 38.31 38.85 33.60 95
Source: StarMine
View Full Table »
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