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GM target price: Zero

Globe and Mail Blog Post


It's hard to get optimistic about survival of General Motors Corp. these days, but it nonetheless might come as a shock to learn that an analyst has cut his target price on the shares to zero.

“Even if GM succeeds in averting a bankruptcy, we believe that the company's future path is likely to be bankruptcy-like,” said Rod Lache, an analyst at Deutsche Bank, in a note.

Mr. Lache has been busily cutting his target price on GM's shares throughout year, while maintaining a “hold” recommendation until now. In 2008, his target price fell from $31 to $29 to $17 to $14 to $8 to $4. Needless to say, his new target price of zero comes with a new recommendation: Sell.

On Monday, GM shares traded at $3.37 (U.S.), down 99 cents or 22.7 per cent – a sign that investors are growing more worried about the car maker's future.

“It is very rare that you see firms issue an outright death notice like this before a company has formally gone into a court assisted reorganization,” said Jon Ogg, writing on the 24/7 Wall Street blog.