The Parti Québécois has retained the 32 per cent support they received in the last election, according to a weighted average of the latest (pre-summit) polls. The Liberals have dropped a single point, to 30 per cent, while François Legault’s Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) has slid three points to 24 per cent. Québec Solidaire has increased their support by three points to 9 per cent, while 5 per cent of Quebeckers support either Option Nationale, the provincial Greens, or another party.
With so little movement having taken place, Ms. Marois would likely win another minority government if an election were held today, increasing her party’s representation in the 125-seat National Assembly to 57 from 54. The Liberals, currently under the interim leadership of Jean-Marc Fournier, would win 48 seats, the CAQ would take 18, and Québec Solidaire would hold on to the two seats they currently occupy.