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Ontario party leaders, from left: New Democrat Andrea Horwath, Liberal Dalton McGuinty, Progressive Conservative Tim Hudak. - If current public opinion polls hold true on Ontario’s forthcoming provincial election, neither politicians nor public will be sure on election night who will govern them in the months or years to follow.

If current public opinion polls hold true on Ontario’s forthcoming provincial election, neither politicians nor public will be sure on election night who will govern them in the months or years to follow.

Ontario party leaders, from left: New Democrat Andrea Horwath, Liberal Dalton McGuinty, Progressive Conservative Tim Hudak. - If current public opinion polls hold true on Ontario’s forthcoming provincial election, neither politicians nor public will be sure on election night who will govern them in the months or years to follow.
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The contenders: An inside look at Ontario’s potential premiers

From Saturday's Globe and Mail

The consensus builder

Andrea Horwath does not pretend to have all the answers. “If you just assume that you’re all-knowing, and don’t pay attention to what people are worried about,” she said this week aboard her campaign bus, “then I don’t think that’s leadership.”

It was a shot at Dalton McGuinty, particularly his implementation of the harmonized sales tax. But it was also an effective summation of the NDP Leader’s pitch to voters: that, unlike her opponents, she is in touch with ordinary Ontarians, willing to build consensus rather than impose policies from on high.

Accessibility has been at the heart of her campaign, both in her platform and her style of pressing the flesh. Running on an agenda that (with the exception of a proposal to increase corporate taxes significantly) eschews many traditional NDP values in favour of pocketbook populism, she is the only one of the three leaders to put herself regularly in unscripted encounters with voters. She insisted on that, she said, because “I get my passion from everyday people.”

The question is whether all this pragmatism and her considerable charm cover up a lack of clear ideas about where she wants to take the province. A couple of years into her leadership, fairly new to Queen’s Park, does she know enough about government – what is right and wrong with it – to be placed in a position of power?

Watching her on the campaign trail, it is not always easy to tell. She turned in an assured performance during the leaders’ debate. But at other times, she has struggled with facts and figures when pressed to go past talking points.

During a visit this week to The Globe and Mail’s editorial board, Ms. Horwath confused details of her platform, including implying that a cap on the salaries of public-sector executives would save $20-million, and an acknowledgment that she wasn’t sure to what the figure referred.

What voters have to grapple with is how much slack to cut her because she is new and open-minded and unafraid to be challenged.

“I don’t only talk to people who are on the same wavelength as I am,” she said in the interview, and the way she handles herself on the hustings backs that up.

What she is promising is the very opposite of Mr. McGuinty’s father-knows-best style of governing. “You can’t be a leader alone, you have to be a leader that’s got people following you,” she said. “And if you never connect with the people, then what kind of leader are you?”

Mr. Back-to-Basics

Tim Hudak has a tendency to laugh a bit defensively when he thinks an interviewer is trying to trap him. And this particular question got a hearty one.

The Progressive Conservative Leader had been railing against Mr. McGuinty’s “big ideas,” when he was asked if Ontario needs fewer big ideas in general.

“You need to make decisions,” he replied after the chuckle. “You need to set priorities. And big ideas should be about creating wealth in our society, like good private-sector jobs. They don’t always have to be about spending more of people’s money.”

In the rest of the interview, as he has through the campaign, Mr. Hudak made a sustained case for having the government “stick to its knitting.”

He’s clearest on this front on the subject of developing the province’s economy. He has been fairly consistent in arguing that interventionism – of the sort the Liberals are attempting through the Green Energy Act, and a promise to provide venture capital to start-ups – is not the way to create jobs. At an editorial board meeting on Friday, Mr. Hudak vowed to get Ontario out of the “corporate welfare business” and claimed “handouts and grants are always two steps away from corruption.”

On other fronts, the meaning of his commitment to narrow government’s focus is more open to interpretation. It might be that, as his opponents constantly claim, he’s hiding plans to slash programs. But for now, he’s only pledging to cut 2 per cent of spending in ministries other than health and education and shrink the number of “redundant” agencies – hardly the stuff of Mike Harris’s Common Sense Revolution.