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Toronto mayoral contenders George Smitherman, left, and front-runner Rob Ford (composite photograph).
Toronto mayoral contenders George Smitherman, left, and front-runner Rob Ford (composite photograph).

Toronto mayoral race 'down to the wire,' pollster says after neck-and-neck survey Add to ...

Rob Ford and George Smitherman are still tied with less than a week to go until election day, according to a new poll.

An Ipsos Reid/Global Television poll of 500 Torontonians conducted Oct. 15-17 found the mayoral front-runners still running neck-and-neck, with Mr. Ford at 33-per-cent support and Mr. Smitherman at 31-per-cent support. Joe Pantalone is trailing with 13 per cent.

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However, the new poll shows Mr. Ford is back on top among committed voters, a change from the last time Ipsos Reid sought Torontonians' opinions, Oct. 8-10.

Mr. Ford now has the edge (39 per cent) over Mr. Smitherman (33 per cent) among voters who say they're certain to cast a ballot.

But pollster Darrell Bricker cautioned that the race is so tight, the lead could continue to see-saw until Oct. 25.

"The situation remains volatile," he said. "Even though we have Ford ahead right now, tomorrow, depending on how these people move, we could have somebody else ahead. So it'll be right down to the wire."

The fresh Ipsos Reid results are in line with the findings of a Nanos Research poll of 1,000 very likely Toronto voters conducted Oct. 14-16.

Commissioned by The Globe and Mail, CTV and CP24, the poll gave Mr. Ford (43.9 per cent) a slim lead over Mr. Smitherman (40.5 per cent) among decided voters.

The Ipsos Reid poll has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Follow on Twitter: @kellygrant1

 

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