Skip to main content
business briefing

These are stories Report on Business followed this week.

Follow Michael Babad and The Globe's Business Briefing on Twitter.

It's anyone's (educated) guess where we go from here, but Chris Beauchamp says there's one thing we can count on after this week's market turmoil: Caution.

"The past week has seen profit warnings by the score, plus an increase in concerns surrounding China growth and Fed policy," said the market analyst at IG in London, referring to the FTSE 100.

"The macro calendar next week is busy enough to bridge the gap until earnings season, but the lesson from the end of the third quarter is that volatility is back on the agenda," he added, this time referring to the New York markets.

Investors have a lot to digest these days: A stronger U.S. economy, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike, though not immediately, questions over China's economic outlook, and turmoil in the Middle East and Ukraine.

"The coming three months should see a much more cautious atmosphere, particularly if improving U.S. data lends weight to the theory that an interest rate hike is coming much earlier than expected."

This week, of course, was one of angst.

"September has finally unleashed its fury on global equity markets," chief economist Douglas Porter of BMO Nesbitt Burns said of this week's action on global markets.

"The downdraft arrived a bit later than usual this year - after all, the Dow and S&P 500 just touched record highs late last week, and even the TSX saw an all-time high earlier in the month," he added.

"But a variety of simmering global concerns - Syria, Ukraine, Ebola - as well as a dimming growth outlook in Europe and China, and a rare stumble by Apple, have finally made their mark."

Even amid all that, though, the losses for the week were "hardly earth-shattering."

Next up is a jam-packed week, with many potential market-moving events:

There are global purchasing managers index readings, notably from China, and a meeting of chief Mario Draghi's European Central Bank, which has cut interest rates but remains under pressure for an asset-purchase scheme.

"It is clear that from a data standpoint there is a need for further stimulus, with euro zone, French and German GDP at or below 0 per cent, PMI figures at or close to contraction, whilst unemployment remains at 11.5 per cent, which is almost double that of the U.S.," said research analyst Joshua Mahony of Alpari in London.

"However, from a policy standpoint, I believe there is little chance of a shift this month, given Mario Draghi's recent implementation of [two other] schemes," he added.

"It is clear that Mario Draghi is willing to act if necessary yet to make two major moves in two consecutive months would be highly unlikely as it removes the ability to properly monitor the impact of those previous actions."

Friday brings the key U.S. employment report for September, which economists expect will show about 210,000 jobs created last month, and the unemployment rate holding at 6.1 per cent.

Of course, losses for some can be opportunities for others.

"As a more bearish mindset takes hold, it pays to keep in mind that this selloff will bring with it a tremendous buying opportunity at more attractive price levels," said chief economist David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff + Associates.

"All of a sudden, there are already some inexpensive stocks out there."

The chief economist at Gluskin Sheff + Associates was giving his advice to clients Friday after global markets largely perked up, having been routed heading into the last trading day of the week.

Mr. Rosenberg, who sees what's been happening as a "stealth correction," warned, however, that "discipline and patience" will be needed going forward.

"But scaling back into high-quality stocks at better price points is the prudent strategy for long-term investors – what is important for success is 'time in' the market, not 'timing' the market," he said.

The week's top business videos

The week in Business Briefing

The week in Streetwise (for subscribers)

The week in real estate

The week in ROB Insight (for subscribers)

The week's top news

The week's must-reads

Report an editorial error

Report a technical issue

Editorial code of conduct

Tickers mentioned in this story

Study and track financial data on any traded entity: click to open the full quote page. Data updated as of 25/04/24 4:00pm EDT.

SymbolName% changeLast
AAPL-Q
Apple Inc
+0.51%169.89
CADUSD-FX
Canadian Dollar/U.S. Dollar
0%0.73218
MAT-Q
Mattel Inc
-3.7%18.47

Interact with The Globe