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Radiohead could start an avalanche

When Radiohead's "pay what you want" download experiment was first announced a couple of weeks ago, it seemed obvious that fans (particularly the poor ones) would like the idea. But would it actually work? And would the band make any money, or would most people download it for nothing?

 

Despite some early glitches caused by a rush of would-be downloaders, and some carping from fans about song quality, the early indications are that the experiment has been a raging success, and that a majority of people are willing to pay as much or more for such an album as they would if they bought it through iTunes or any other traditional method.

 

In fact, if some of the early reports about the project turn out to be true, the trickle of interest that some bands showed in the idea initially (including Oasis and Jamiroquai, as well as Nine Inch Nails) could soon become an avalanche: according to some estimates, Radiohead may have made over $10-million (U.S.) in a single day.

 

The day after In Rainbows went on sale on October 10th, music-industry blog Gigwise said it had learned from sources close to the band that Radiohead had already sold more than 1.2 million copies of the album. And while it’s impossible to know what everyone paid for those downloads, industry polls showed that a majority of people buying the album were paying between $1 and $20.

 

In other words, Radiohead could easily have made over $10-million in the first 24 hours, and likely made substantially more than that in the first two days of offering downloads. And those figures don’t include the number of fans who chose to pay $80 for the deluxe boxed-set CD of the album. Some fans actually paid the maximum amount the system was set up to process: 99 British pounds, or about $200.

 

Considering the group will keep the vast majority of that estimated $10-million-plus in revenue -- in contrast with the small percentage most groups get with the traditional record-label process -- more than one band has to be looking at Radiohead’s move as a model for the future.

 

Meanwhile, even rock dinosaurs Led Zeppelin have apparently decided that the Internet might be good for something (although it’s unclear whether Radiohead had anything to do with it). The group, which until now has been one of the major holdouts in terms of online sales, said on Monday that its music will now be available through iTunes and other online stores.

  1. Greg MacGregor from Toronto, Canada writes: This model will no doubt work for bands like Radiohead, or U2, or Zeppelin or Oasis-- in other words, bands with a big fan base that can afford for it to not work. I don't see this model taking off for small acts with no 20 year legacy or label behind them though... but at the same time I could see it working for "viral" bands like the Arctic Monkeys or up-and-coming alt bands like the Yeah Yeah Yeahs... guess we'll just have to wait and see what happens.
  2. Chris Levesque from Calgary, Canada writes: I suspect the first few artists to try this will make huge profits, as thousands of music fans will make larger-than-expected donations to show their support for this business model and to "stick it" to the record labels. Once that early wave of support dries up, though, are fans still going to pay $200 for a single album?

    I wouldn't be surprised if the average donation for these releases ends up being about $5 or so. Depending on the cost of bandwidth and overhead, though, that still might be more money in the artists' pockets than what they're currently seeing in royaly payments from a traditional record label for each $15 CD sold.
  3. Craig Schiller from Toronto, writes: Jane Siberry's been doing "pay what you want" on her website for a few years now; if I remember correctly, it was in fact a Globe & Mail article in which she revealed that her fans typically pay her slightly more than standard album price.
  4. A A from Canada writes: Brilliant!!! You gotta love Radiohead not just for the amazing music but for how they adapt to a quickly changing music industry. It's also great to hear that there are honest people out there. I think we will be surprised at the results when all is said and done. Sounds very Wikinomic like to me.

    Greg: One Republik and Sean Kingston got a record deals because they promoted their music on Myspace and other websites.
  5. dale spinx from Canada writes: this is wicked...cut out the middle man(the record companies)
  6. Brian Martin from Georgetown, Canada writes: As I've said more than once: Adapt to change and survive, lead change and prosper, resist change and perish.

    Radiohead are leading and the RIAA are resisting. It is my fervent hope that this adage holds true in this instance.
  7. D K from Canada writes: Maybe the RIAA will sue Radiohead for not getting a piece of the pie.
  8. Ian Hoffman from Ottawa, Canada writes: I hope this starts a trend to see the "quality" of music improve. The record industry got themselves in trouble by their single-minded pursuit of "the hit". Perhaps it is a little too optimistic to hope that this move will lead to a much more honest industry that rewards quality music (and effort), but it is a step in the right direction.
  9. andy c from Canada writes: the only way this setup will work is if the majority of the album as good and or the artists have the cash to cut an album (studio time).
  10. Midtown Bob from Toronto, Canada writes: Bravo to Radiohead for taking a old step forward. I've never liked the record companies, making money just for being the middle jerk.

    I dl'ed In Rainbows and gave the artists a few $$ for their efforts. Hopefully more artists will follow this lead and put the record companies out of business.
  11. Globe Insider subscriber content
    Pamphleteer . from Canada writes: good. put the record company slimeballs out of business.

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