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Posted AT 12:35 AM EDT on 27/02/08

Worry about the S-word: Stagflation is more likely to bite than recession

Special to Globe and Mail Update

The latest U.S. inflation numbers and the expectation of another interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve Board make "stagflation" — not recession — the real challenge facing the U.S. economy. The focus on recession by many economists and by the media has distracted us from the serious medium-term risk of U.S. stagflation, which combines strong inflationary pressures with stagnant economic growth — as happened during the late 1970s and early 1980s. True, the U.S.

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