The issues raised by Rogers' decision to impose new bandwidth caps on its users are complex. I described some of them yesterday. There is yet another issue that needs to be addressed.
While its competitor Sympatico has installed bandwidth-shaping technology, which identifies the kind of traffic you create and “shapes” it by deciding which kinds of traffic get priority, Rogers has approached the issue from the other side. Instead of slowing down bandwidth-hungry traffic such as BitTorrent, Rogers will take a “Net-neutral” approach and simply charge individuals extra for traffic over and above what Rogers identifies as “average.”
Each system is designed to slow the flood of traffic, specifically those involving file-sharing. But the comparisons stop there.
Rogers seems to be motivated by two principles. One is that raising the basic rate Rogers charges its Internet customers is inviolate, and changing it would be folly, because the backlash will be terrible. The other is the recent humiliation suffered by the U.S. cable company and Internet service provider Comcast, which went so far in its effort to use bandwidth-shaping technology that it incurred the wrath of U.S. regulators, forcing the company to retreat to a position that it does nothing with those whose use of the Internet is way beyond average. If Rogers is fearful of sharing Comcast's fate, it is left with only one alternative: charge for what telcos (of which Rogers is one) call “overages” — a charge for use beyond a certain amount.
Rogers seems willing to take the gamble that this might scare off a small number of subscribers, perhaps a number the company can afford to lose (this was the explanation for introducing bandwidth caps in 2002). This time, however, the company is offering four different plans, each with a different maximum cap: Ultra-Lite subscribers 2 GB per month; Lite limits its subscribers to 25 GB per month; Express to 60 GB, and Extreme to 95 GB.
The company says that its caps will handle much, much more than the “average user” will need — its own website says that only one gigabyte lets users view 26,000 Web pages, or send 105,000 e-mails, or attach more than 2,000 Microsoft Word documents about 10 pages each, or receive up to 1,000 digital photos, or download more than 200 songs, or stream 18 hours of music from the Web, or download 1.5 movies (or 2/3 of a movie in high definition) or play games online for 240 hours, or 10 days. And multiply that by 2, 25, 60 or 95 per month before you start getting charged.
Sounds reasonable, doesn't it? In fact it does: Very few people will need that much bandwidth, so Rogers' logic appears to be sound. With pricing like this, the caps are clearly designed to discriminate mainly against those who download stuff 24 hours a day.
But it's still an odd strategy. Almost all Internet providers are using bandwidth-shaping technology of one kind or another, and many people have ceased railing against the practice. In fact, even Rogers is using it (begging the question of whether it will continue to do so).
By taking the bandwidth-cap approach, Rogers is painting itself into marketing corner. At some point, as we start downloading our favourite TV shows and high-definition movies, any cap will start to appear inadequate, or the overage charges might have to be raised, or the low-end subscribers will have to upgrade their plans. That means subscribers will, from time to time, get a surprise in their monthly bill, and how many subscribers does Rogers plan to keep when that happens?
With this move, Rogers is coming closer to the way telcos charge their cellphone subscribers. This logic might fly in Rogers' marketing department, but Internet use is a far different animal from cellphone use. Cellphone subscribers still view the extras Rogers sells them as either small conveniences, such as mobile e-mail (very few people archive all their e-mail in a cellphone), or nice but unnecessary luxuries, such as downloadable music videos. These are not luxuries for the desktop computer — as we move to a more multimedia model, desktop computers are expected to handle everything we want from them. Moreover, cellphone contracts are for finite periods (usually one, two or three years), but home subscribers sign up with much longer expectations, and are less tolerant with changes.
Rogers' gamble of setting caps might pay off for the foreseeable future, especially among those of us whose use of the Internet is below the cap. But at some point, the caps will become inadequate, and the company's marketing department will have to change its strategy again.

