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It's the economy, stupid

"The issue is Stephen Harper and there is a wealth of material to take him down," one of the endless supply of disgruntled anonymous Liberals tells the Globe. "Instead, we pass that up to launch a summer of Dion. No wonder Liberal morale is so low."

Not much of an argument, that. Unless the incumbent is completely toxic - much more toxic than the current one - you can't just repeat ad nauseum what a bad, bad man he is; you have to have your own identity as well. And rather than letting the Tories define him, as they've done almost since the moment he became leader, Stephane Dion needs to find a way to define himself. Since that's not exactly working out in Ottawa, spending his summer touring the country and raising his profile - something he should be doing right now, actually - makes perfect sense.

As for the message that will be delivered during the Summer of Dion, though - that's a different matter. It's little secret that there's a legitimate rift in the party, even in Dion's office, over the merits of making a carbon tax the centrepiece of the Liberal platform. And on this one, unlike the ludicrous notion that they can win the next election by keeping their leader out of the public eye, his critics have a point.

Setting aside the public policy merits, which are difficult to judge until further details are forthcoming, a carbon tax does have serious strategic suicide potential. Following the B.C. model by making it revenue-neutral, and using the additional revenues to cut income taxes, may be enough to offset anger from drivers. But with economic concerns increasingly marginalizing environmental ones, giving your opponents the opportunity to charge you with jeopardizing industry (not least manufacturing) in the name of fighting climate change doesn't immediately leap out as a way to reverse your political fortunes.

If the Liberals are looking for a consistent message, and they really should be, the aforementioned economic concerns give them plenty of opportunity.

With fears of a recession mounting, the Tories have given very little indication that they have any idea what to do about them. This is not entirely their own fault; while last fall's ill-advised GST cut tied their hands in this year's budget, their room for maneuvering is obviously limited by a minority Parliament. But virtually the only news coming out of the capital over the past few months has been negative - either the Tories defending themselves against allegations of ethical improprieties, or picking fights with officers of parliament and provincial premiers. When this government isn't distracted by its own scandals, the Liberals could argue, it's going to war with the people it should be working with to find economic solutions.

This, of course, would require the Liberals to have a semi-coherent economic plan of their own, of which there's very little evidence. (Or, less kindly, no evidence at all.) But if they had one, Dion could spend his summer accusing the Tories of fiddling while the economy burned - a more helpful message than offering to make it burn faster, which is exactly what his opponents will accuse him of. 

  1. pierre lefebvre from Brossard, Canada writes: Defining Dion is the challenge. Misfit, nerd and narcissistic non-leader of LPC.
  2. Wall Flower from Canada writes: Like many pundits stuck in the Ottawa fishbowl, Adam is simply underestimating the intelligence of the electorate.

    If there is one sure way for Dion to make his mark and stand out from the rest of the pack, it is indeed by promoting the much needed carbon tax. it is exactly this kind of visionary policymaking that we Canadians are starved for. I say Dion should leave the gutter attack politics to the CPC as they are now famed for and push for the carbon tax.
  3. Jim Pook from Tahsis, BC, Canada writes: Dion's problems are many, least of which is his inability to lead the Liberal Party in any one direction. He has half of his MP's waiting to stick the knife in his back and re-roll the dice in a leadership convention. His only option is to keep threatening an election that the Liberals can not afford to run to keep them off his back. This will work in the short term, but it is not in the interest of Canada or the Liberal Party itself. He is putting his own leadership above the interests of the country thus proving that he is again, not fit for leadership.

    The Liberals only policy seems to be to sling as much mud and muck at the governing Conservatives and hope and pray that some of it - any of it sticks. They do not have any real alternative to the government, and thus should not yet be trusted with the levers of power.
  4. Blue Magic ...... from mississauga, Canada writes: Still whinning about the GST cut. They also cut buissness and personel tax. Gave a billion to help the hurt industies. Just b/c Harper was 10 steps ahead of you adam when he predicted in the fall that there would be tuff times(while you where so concetraded on mulrooney and the fall election lol), does not mean you have to hide what they have done. I love the part about news out of ottawa. Yes all the faux scandel and making fun of a PMO staffers cancer and now chasing down ex girlfriends. to smear a minsters and Harper. yeas it's all Harpers fault that the PPG is completly and utterly usless. "News out Ottawa" ha,ha,ha the only thing they can write, "is there is going to be an election" and 'Harper is so mean" Please do tell what else harper can do since he has cut taxes in every bracket increased transfer paymenet to record levels. Given bail out to the hurt one buisness towns. PLus fighting to open up the provences. trying to get free trade deals done. Trying to get a security's regulator But your right harper just does nothing. Lets face it Adam you have no cred saying Harper has done nothing. He just did it when you clowns where trying to smear Harper with mulrooney or what ever fake scandel. But I forgot the fall update was done for an election ha,ha,ha, Hey adam it's 2008 it is very easy to find out what the government has done. Even if all the globe talks about is smear and elections. And how great Dion is. Scott templton >>>>>Adam
  5. Mervin Hollingsworth from Saskatoon, Sk., Canada writes: Harper will kill Dion if he proposes a carbon tax offset by tax shifting. First of all Dion is a university professor and knows little about the economy. With McCallum, the resident buffoon, giving advice he will learn little about how the economy works. Is Dion going to look Canadians in the eye over the summer and tell them that if the carbon tax increases their day to day living costs by 30% he will reduce, across the board, their marginal tax rates by 30%. Only in Liberal la la land would anybody believe that supposition. As well, how much of the so called tax reductions will be split between corporate and personal. Even Liberals know that businesses need to be financially healthy in order to stay in business and to continue to create jobs. Hence the majority of tax reductions will be on the corporate side. However, that won't stop the Liberals from lying to the public. Where will the carbon taxes go? Into the federal government coffers as general revenue. How does that help the environment? With the so called revenue neutral ploy those funds will be needed to support current government expenditures like healthcare, education and social programs. If the carbon tax is used exclusively for making a greener economy where does the money come from to support social programs, education and healthcare etc?. After all the carbon tax is revenue neutral and therefore govenrment revenues will fall. What happens to middle income Canadians, seniors, poor and working poor when everyday costs skyrocket and the so called tax shifting is not enough to offset those increased costs? What happens when industry enjoys reduced taxes but uses that as a way to improve their bottom lines and simply passes the carbon taxes charged to them onto the cost of their products. This is smoke and mirrors by the Liberals in order to satify environmental ideologues one of whom is Dion. The one consolation is that Dion has trouble effectively communicating anything.
  6. Michael Sharp from Victoria, Canada writes:

    With unemployment in Canada at 35 year low, with Canada's economy being the best of the G7 (and by extension, the best in the world) we are to believe that only Dion and the Liberals can save us in these tough economic times?

    Good grief Adam, even by you, that's a stretch.

    Why is it that liberals are so disconnected with reality?
  7. Albin Forone from Canada writes: Thanksfully, Bernier has given us a new sultry theme, best articulated by Billie Holiday:

    There ain't nothing I can do, or nothing I can say,
    Some folks will criticize me.
    So I'm gonna do just what I want to anyway,
    And don't care if you all despise me.

    If I should take a notion
    To jump into the ocean,
    It ain't nobody's business if I do.

    If I go to church on Sunday
    And I shimmy down on Monday,
    It ain't nobody's business if I do.

    And if my friend ain't got no money
    And I say, "All right, take all of mine honey,"
    It ain't nobody's business if I do.

    If I lend her my last nickel
    And it leaves me in a pickle,
    It ain't nobody's business if I do.

    I would rather my gal would hit me
    Than to haul right up and quit me.
    It ain't nobody's business if I do.

    I know that she won't call no copper
    If she gets beat up by her poppa.
    It ain't nobody's business if I do, Lord no.
    Well, it ain't nobody's business if I do.
  8. MJ Patchouli from Regina, Canada writes: Does Jane Taber ever ever ever have any "senior Liberal sources" who will stand behind their comments and allow their names to stand?

    What is this, The Enquirer?
  9. Catherine Wilkie from Canada writes: MJ Patchouli: Jane Taber has a side-kick. Adam Radwanski.
  10. Honest Williams vs Honest Dions vision for CANADA ! Draft Danny from Canada writes: pierre lefebvre from Brossard, Canada writes: Defining Dion is the challenge. Misfit, nerd and narcissistic non-leader of LPC.
    Posted 08/05/08 at 2:15 PM EDT | Alert

    Dions a hell's angel . Mensa International is his colours !
  11. Honest Williams vs Honest Dions vision for CANADA ! Draft Danny from Canada writes: pierre lefebvre from Brossard, Canada writes: Defining Dion is the challenge. Misfit, nerd and narcissistic non-leader of LPC.
    Posted 08/05/08 at 2:15 PM EDT | Alert an

    Dion thinks we will make mega bucks from Columbian free trade ? What do they export m. bernier ?
  12. Geoffrey May from Canada writes: The next federal election will be about one issue Climate Change .It is the only irrevocable issue on the table.If the next government of Canada , and other countries fail to attempt to prevent atmospheric CO2 levels from reaching the tipping point , then surely the tipping point shall be passed and all hell can break loose .Ignoring the impact of climate change on the economy is insane.Ignoring climate change doesn't reduce the price of oil, doesn't esure an affordable global food supply.If Dion is worthy of being Canada's next prime minister he has to have plan for dealing with CO2 that is a model for the industrial world . If Dion is serious about dealing with carbon, he has to introduce a carbon tax.To do therwise ignores the advice of the National Roundtable,and prevent Canada from taking part in carbon trading under the Kyoto Protocal .
  13. Globe Insider subscriber content
    diane marie from calgary, Canada writes: Adam:-- All Mr. Dion need do is point to BC, where the uptake has been positive. It is not his or the LPC's job to offer an alternative policy platform when the CPC is bereft of one and an election has not been called. Mr. Harper has been touted by the press as being the master strategist/chess meister. To quote the lady in the hamburger commercial: where's the meat? It's Mr. Harper's job to produce it.
  14. Spending ourmoney from Outside the center of the universe, Canada writes: Only the stupid would say "it's the economy,stupid." when this country has a economy that is booming,from coast to coast.
    Unless of course,you live in the center of the universe.
    It's about controlling the wages of the taxpayer even further,stupid.
    What taxes are ever revenue neutral?
    The only stupid ones are the ones who think this scheme will do anything for climate change.
  15. Michael Sharp from Victoria., Canada writes:

    "Job machine cranks on" screams today's headline in the Globe.

    Dion is to spend his summer telling Canadians how the LPC will deal with the recession.

    Utter and complete disconnect.

    Stupid, stupid Liberals.
  16. Don Jenkins from Canada writes: I've met Harper and Dion and my choice is Dion. The Dion bashing here, and even the tone of the article, despite it being fairly even, says to me that none of you have met either of them, or put a particular amount of thought into your decision making.

    Basically, Dion can cater to intelligent Canadians who care about themselves and their country and their fellow citizens with sound policy and good attitude, or he can cater to the screaming immature ignoramouses that Harper caters to. If there really aren't enough of the first group, maybe he won't win, but by catering to the second we ALL lose, because Dion's about the only grownup functioning in Ottawa right now.

    So, all the Harper followers can keep taunting, we know you're followers anyway, and therefore when Harper finally seen for what he is, you'll all just jump on the next bandwagon anyway.

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Adam Radwanski

Adam Radwanski is a member of The Globe and Mail's editorial board. He blogs on all matters political, with commentary and analysis of what's making news (and what should be making news).

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