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Arctic oil is no Texas tea


Wednesday's blockbuster report from the U.S. Geological Survey certainly raised eyebrows, not to mention the risk of owning energy stocks. The report concluded that the Arctic was the next frontier for energy production, holding more than a fifth of the world's undiscovered energy resources, and gave rise to two ideas: The world's energy supply is not as close to running dry as some dire forecasts would have you believe, and if energy companies have to explore beneath northern ice, then these Arctic resources are not exactly the next Saudi Arabia in terms of easy access.

So is the USGS report bullish or bearish for energy stocks? Ed Yardeni, of Yardeni Research, believes it's a bit of both.

“This report supports my view that the era of cheap oil is probably over, and that the peak oil theory may be premature in its dire forecasts,” he said in a note to clients. “So do we sell energy stocks now and buy property in Greenland? No and yes, in my opinion. If oil prices continue to tumble, we can count on OPEC to say, ‘See we told you so. The oil market has been well supplied.' We can also count on OPEC to cut production.”

 

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