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Latvians betting on bad times

Latvians hope to strike it rich by wagering on what the country's inflation numbers will be

Agence France-Presse

RIGA — Even in the most dire of economic times, there is a chance to make money somewhere, somehow.

In Latvia, which is struggling with recession, betting on official monthly inflation figures has become an opportunity to strike it rich, with bookmakers offering attractive odds.

Internet users can place wagers on September year-on-year annual inflation figures due to be released by the Latvian office of statistics tomorrow.

Gamblers betting it will be between 14.4 and 14.9 per cent can win 30 per cent of their wager on the triobet.com betting portal.

Inflation stood at 15.7 per cent in August year-on-year, down from a 12-year high point of 17.9 per cent in May.

High-risk gamblers can more than triple their money if they bet that inflation will slip below 14.4 per cent.

In the least likely case of the inflation rate climbing above 14.9 per cent, gamblers could score a seven-fold return on their bet, according to

triobet.com.

Independent experts at SEB bank predict it will hit 14.4 per cent year-on-year in September.

Once the fastest growing economy in the European Union, reaching a peak of 13 per cent growth in gross domestic product in the first quarter of 2006, Latvia has fallen into recession this year with official statistics released in early September showing negative growth in the first two quarters.

The Latvian office of statistics confirmed that growth in the second quarter dropped by 0.2 per cent compared to the first quarter of 2008.

First-quarter GDP growth was also negative, down 0.3 per cent from the last quarter of 2007, it said.

Experts have predicted further negative growth.

Last week, citing worries about the economies of the Baltic states, the London-based Fitch Ratings credit agency downgraded the ratings of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania and kept their outlooks negative.

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