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Gilles Duceppe is a former leader of the Bloc Québécois.
Gilles Duceppe is a former leader of the Bloc Québécois.
(RYAN REMIORZ/THE CANADIAN PRESS)

Why the Bloc is unlikely to reclaim a Quebec victory

The Bloc Québécois leadership race will begin soon, and the next leader will face a stiff challenge. The party has yet to recover from its collapse in the 2011 federal election and its prospects for another return to dominance against two tough rivals are grim.

The Bloc Québécois has averaged about 23 per cent support in Quebec in polls conducted in the last three months of 2013, unchanged from the 23.4 per cent of the province’s vote the sovereigntist party captured in 2011. That puts the Bloc solidly in third place, trailing Thomas Mulcair’s New Democrats by about three points and Justin Trudeau’s Liberals by about 10.