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A combination photo shows Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau, left, and Prime Minister Stephen Harper.
A combination photo shows Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau, left, and Prime Minister Stephen Harper.
(The Canadian Press and Reuters)

In battle of Harper vs. Trudeau, polls clash on who has the edge among likely voters

The next federal election may be decided by who votes, rather than for which party Canadians cast a ballot. But it’s not entirely clear which party stands to benefit most from the disparity between the voting and non-voting populations, according to two recent polls.

The most recent comes from Angus Reid, which surveyed 1,514 Canadians online between Feb. 12 and 16. The poll found that 33 per cent of all eligible decided voters supported the Liberals, while the Conservatives had the support of 28 per cent and the New Democrats finished third with 26 per cent. The regional levels of support among eligible voters polled by Angus Reid would likely deliver 123 seats to the Liberals, 117 to the Conservatives, and 95 to the New Democrats, using the seat projection model of ThreeHundredEight.com.