The results of Monday’s provincial election in Quebec had some surprises, but the popular vote tally of the major parties was not one of them. For the second consecutive provincial election, the polls made the right call.
When the polls were wrong
Has the demon of the provincial elections in Alberta and British Columbia been exorcised? Certainly some of the lessons from those campaigns were learned, as the positive results in Nova Scotia last October had suggested. Multiple pollsters in the Quebec campaign, for instance, reported support among those most likely to cast a ballot, rather than only the support of the entire (partially non-voting) population.