Skip to main content

Oil prices pared gains in volatile trade on Tuesday amid fears that demand would stall due to a trade war between the United States and China, and concerns that Russia remains a stumbling block to a deal to cut global crude supply.

U.S. President Donald Trump made clear he would revert to tariffs on China if the two sides could not resolve their differences.

The comments put a damper on market enthusiasm and a major selloff took place across stocks and other assets, with Wall Street falling more than 3 per cent on Tuesday.

Story continues below advertisement

Oil has pulled back alongside other asset classes in recent weeks, driven by worries about trade and economic growth.

Oil benchmarks gave up Monday’s 4 per cent gains, which had come after Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed at a meeting of the Group of 20 industrialized nations (G20) to pause an escalating trade dispute.

In Monday’s session, expectations of a production cut by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, when they meet on Thursday in Vienna, had also supported prices.

OPEC and its allies are working toward a deal to reduce oil output by at least 1.3 million barrels per day, four sources said on Tuesday, adding that Russia’s resistance to a significant production cut was so far the main stumbling block.

“Now we’re starting to get uncertainty on both the trade and production cut fronts and the market is giving back those gains,” said Gene McGillian, director of market research at Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut. “Some of the optimism surrounding the easing of trade tensions seems to be evaporating.”

U.S. crude settled up 30 cents at $53.25 a barrel after a volatile session that saw the benchmark rally 3 per cent to $54.55. Brent crude oil rose 39 cents to settle at $62.08, after earlier touching a session high of $63.58. In post settlement trading, both benchmarks edged slightly lower.

Ahead of the OPEC meeting, Saudi Oil Minister Khalid Al-Falih said it was too soon to be certain that OPEC and other oil exporters would cut production because the terms of a deal remain unresolved.

Story continues below advertisement

Al-Falih said he thought the market was oversupplied but he cautioned that all members of OPEC and its allies needed to come together for a cut to go ahead.

Trump has put pressure on Saudi Arabia to keep prices low, blaming the kingdom for rising prices.

“A cut in OPEC and Russia production of 1.3 million bpd will be required to reverse the ongoing counter-seasonally large increase in inventories,” Goldman Sachs said in a note.

It added it expected a joint effort by OPEC and Russia to withhold supply to push Brent oil prices “above the mid-$60-per-barrel level.”

Helping OPEC in its efforts to rein in emerging oversupply was an order on Sunday by the Canadian province of Alberta for producers to scale back output by 325,000 bpd until excess crude in storage is reduced.

OPEC’s biggest problem is surging production in the United States, where output – mostly from its shale fields – has grown by about 2 million bpd within a year to more than 11.5 million bpd.

Story continues below advertisement

U.S. crude and refined products inventories rose last week, data from industry group the American Petroleum Institute showed on Tuesday.

U.S. government data will be released on Thursday, Dec. 6 at 11 a.m. EST, a one-day delay due to a federal holiday. If the data confirms a crude build, it will be the 11th consecutive stockpile increase.

Barclays bank said in a note to clients that oil production in Texas alone “reached 4.69 million bpd in September, compared with Iraqi output of 4.66 million by our estimates.”

Iraq is OPEC’s second-biggest oil producer behind Saudi Arabia.

Report an error
Tickers mentioned in this story
Unchecking box will stop auto data updates
Comments

Welcome to The Globe and Mail’s comment community. This is a space where subscribers can engage with each other and Globe staff. Non-subscribers can read and sort comments but will not be able to engage with them in any way. Click here to subscribe.

If you would like to write a letter to the editor, please forward it to letters@globeandmail.com. Readers can also interact with The Globe on Facebook and Twitter .

Welcome to The Globe and Mail’s comment community. This is a space where subscribers can engage with each other and Globe staff. Non-subscribers can read and sort comments but will not be able to engage with them in any way. Click here to subscribe.

If you would like to write a letter to the editor, please forward it to letters@globeandmail.com. Readers can also interact with The Globe on Facebook and Twitter .

Welcome to The Globe and Mail’s comment community. This is a space where subscribers can engage with each other and Globe staff.

We aim to create a safe and valuable space for discussion and debate. That means:

  • All comments will be reviewed by one or more moderators before being posted to the site. This should only take a few moments.
  • Treat others as you wish to be treated
  • Criticize ideas, not people
  • Stay on topic
  • Avoid the use of toxic and offensive language
  • Flag bad behaviour

Comments that violate our community guidelines will be removed. Commenters who repeatedly violate community guidelines may be suspended, causing them to temporarily lose their ability to engage with comments.

Read our community guidelines here

Discussion loading ...

Due to technical reasons, we have temporarily removed commenting from our articles. We hope to have this fixed soon. Thank you for your patience. If you are looking to give feedback on our new site, please send it along to feedback@globeandmail.com. If you want to write a letter to the editor, please forward to letters@globeandmail.com.
Cannabis pro newsletter