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Good evening, here are the coronavirus updates you need to know tonight.

Top headlines:

  1. Canada could see new COVID-19 cases climb to 10,000 a day - five times what the country faced last spring
  2. Ontario adjusted its framework for COVID-19 restrictions following new modelling
  3. Almost 1 in 5 Canadian businesses have less than six months before cuts or closure are necessary

In Canada, there have been at least 286,706 cases reported. In the last week 30,899 new cases were announced, 30 per cent more than the previous week. There have also been at least 229,834 recoveries and 10,826 deaths. Health officials have administered more than 11,335,523 tests.

Worldwide, there have been at least 52,733,290 cases confirmed and 1,293,661 deaths reported.

Sources: Canada data is compiled from government websites, Johns Hopkins and COVID-19 Canada Open Data Working Group; international data is from Johns Hopkins University.

Coronavirus explainers: Coronavirus in maps and charts Lockdown rules and reopening Mask-wearing rules Back to school guide Essential resources

Photo of the day

Lilit Larcade De Moustier, 6 years old, gets a closer look at the large polar bears made of Lego blocks, by Nathan Sawaya, at the PERNiCiEM exhibit at the Alison Milne co. on Oct 14 2020. To keep visits safe, visitors can book private viewings at the gallery in west end Toronto. The show featuring two polar bears made of Lego blocks by sculptor Nathan Sawaya, and photographs by Dean West who rendered various Lego animals into photographs of their habitats, opened Oct 8 and will run until Nov 28 2020.Fred Lum/The Globe and Mail

Coronavirus in Canada

In Ottawa, the country’s top doctor said the country is on track to see 10,000 new COVID-19 cases per day by early December, based on the government’s pandemic modelling.

  • The pressure of 10,000 new daily cases on the health care system "would be huge,” Chief Public Health Officer Dr. Theresa Tam said. “The already exhausted health care workers will be extremely stretched.”
  • In the last seven days, the average number of daily new cases has climbed to more than 4,300, double what it was a month ago.
  • If Canada hits 10,000 daily new cases, that would be five times higher than the daily cases that were tracked at any time during the first wave of the pandemic.

Still in Ottawa, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau urged the provinces to put in place more stringent health measures, warning that the government doesn’t have “infinite resources” to stem the regional spread of COVID-19.

Retraining: The federal government will spend $1.5-billion on retraining efforts for workers in sectors like construction, transportation and hospitality, which have been hard hit by the pandemic. Canada’s unemployment rate was 8.9 per cent in October, leaving 1.8-million people out of work.

Coronavirus around the world

  • In the United States, President Donald Trump said a COVID-19 vaccine would ship in “a matter of weeks,” even as the FDA has yet to grant necessary emergency approvals. The country continues to set records for confirmed cases of COVID-19 as hospitalizations near critical levels.
  • France reported a sharp drop in new COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations at the end of the second week of its nationwide lockdown.

Coronavirus and business

Nearly one in three Canadian businesses are unsure of how long they can continue operating at current levels of sales and expenses before cutting staff or shutting down, according a Statistics Canada survey.

  • Almost one in five owners say they have six months or less before cuts or closure are necessary. The distress is highest in the arts and hospitality industries.
  • Despite the sales disruption, around three-quarters of the surveyed companies had enough cash or liquid assets on hand to operate. However, 44 per cent of businesses said they are unable to take on more debt, with restaurants and hotels especially at their limits.

Also today: Cineplex revenue sinks 85 per cent as pandemic restrictions continue to hit attendance.

And: The U.S. federal reserve said the country’s economy is still in a “deep hole” as the continued spread of COVID-19 poses a risk to any recovery.

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Sources: Canada data are compiled from government websites, Johns Hopkins University and COVID-19 Canada Open Data Working Group; international data are from Johns Hopkins.

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