The $34.7-billion Vanguard REIT ETF is going to get a radical renovation next year when it changes the index it tracks.
But will the move create value for investors? Nobody knows for sure.
Vanguard, the $4.4-trillion asset manager, wants to adopt a new benchmark for the exchange-traded fund, which goes by the ticker VNQ, that would add specialty REITs and real estate management and development firms to the mix. Currently, the fund -- the largest U.S. sector product and the 20th largest ETF overall -- tracks a smaller selection of real estate investment trusts -- companies that own, manage or invest in properties.
The decision is being put to shareholders, who have until Nov. 15 to vote on the change.
A new index may bode well for holders who have watched their ETF underperform competing products like State Street Corp.'s Real Estate Select Sector SPDR fund, since it would add high-flying stocks like American Tower Corp. and Crown Castle International Corp. to its portfolio. But it could also decrease the fund's dividend, potentially hurting those who value the ETF for its 4.3 percent yield.
"Vanguard is missing out on the best-performing stocks this year," said Todd Rosenbluth, director of ETFs and mutual funds at CFRA. But "it looks like the new index will have a slightly lower yield based on June data," he said.
The Malvern, Pa.-based asset manager is proposing the shake-up in order to align VNQ's holdings with the real estate sector classification adopted a year ago by S&P Dow Jones Indices and MSCI Inc., said Arianna Stefanoni Sherlock, a spokeswoman at Vanguard. The change moved REITs out of financials and into their own category, creating an 11th index sector.
State Street's real estate ETF, symbol XLRE, changed up its holdings a year ago in response and has been rewarded for it. The State Street fund has gained 8.7 per cent this year, compared with 3.9 per cent for VNQ, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
The new index could also supercharge the Vanguard fund's performance if year-to-date track records are anything to go by. The MSCI U.S. Investable Market Real Estate 25/50 Index -- the proposed benchmark -- has handily outperformed the existing gauge this year, returning 7.1 per cent with gross dividends reinvested through Aug. 31, compared with 3.7 per cent for the current index.
That's thanks to stocks like American Tower, which has gained 38.3 per cent this year through Sept. 11, and which would become the fund's most heavily-weighted company at 5.5 per cent. Another specialty REIT, Crown Castle, would also join the fund at a weighting of 3.5 per cent. It's climbed 23.2 per cent this year, as the expanding use of mobile devices and e-commerce have stoked demand for the kinds of data centres and cell towers the two companies own and operate.
Also, the new gauge would have 181 constituents, compared with 155 in the existing index, which would help boost its diversification, according to Mr. Rosenbluth.
But it may not be so rosy for those who value VNQ for its dividend. As of June 30, the proposed benchmark had a dividend yield of 3.74 per cent, lower than the existing index.
That could be a sticking point for investors who view REIT funds as "the performance-enhancing drugs of dividend ETFs," said Eric Balchunas, a Bloomberg Intelligence analyst.
Whether that's enough to get shareholders to vote against the change or dump the ETF is an open question. Mr. Rosenbluth said the drop in yield will have "minimal impact." Still, there are going to be some Vanguard investors who are reluctant to see any change in their fund, good or bad.
"It alters the risk characteristics of the fund," said Robert Michaud, chief investment officer of New Frontier Advisors LLC, who owns the ETF. "When a fund going forward is not going to behave in the way it did in the past, then we have to rethink how we're investing with it."