New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (12) celebrates during the second half of NFL Super Bowl XLIX football game against the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday, Feb. 1, 2015, in Glendale, Ariz. The Patriots won 28-24.Kathy Willens/The Associated Press
New England won a thrilling game that was close right to the end with Seattle missing a chance to score and win with only 20 seconds left.
Looking at Sunday's results, past calendar year returns for the S&P 500 were as follows:
Average annual returns on the S&P 500 following the first 48 Super Bowls was about 8.0 per cent.
AFC Wins: 5.1 per cent
E of Mississippi River Wins: 6.8 per cent
N of Mason-Dixon line wins: 10.0 per cent
Union based team wins: 9.4 per cent
New England Wins: (3.8 per cent)
New England Wins excluding 2002: 6.0 per cent
AFC East Wins: (11.6 per cent)
Seattle loses: 13.6 per cent
NFC West loses: 13.8 per cent
Super Bowl champ loses following year: 13.4 per cent
So like the game, the results for the stock market look mixed. New England winning suggests an average to negative year while Seattle losing suggests a good year for the markets.
In my 2015 outlook, I suggested that this year could be volatile and that we could see the S&P down 10 per cent and up 10 per cent at different points, as the impact of the oil price crash works its way through the economy and global markets. This result does nothing to change that possibility and potentially enhances it.
Since 2004, the day after the Super Bowl the S&P 500 has averaged a 0.24 per cent decline as traders nursed their hangovers. So far, U.S. indexes today are pretty much flat.