Skip to main content
A scary good deal on trusted journalism
Get full digital access to globeandmail.com
$0.99
per week for 24 weeks SAVE OVER $140
OFFER ENDS OCTOBER 31
A scary good deal on trusted journalism
$0.99
per week
for 24 weeks
SAVE OVER $140
OFFER ENDS OCTOBER 31
// //

Barrick Gold's response to criticism of its governance and compensation will likely overshadow the company's latest profit report. A look at how the company should handle investor dissatisfaction, with Elizabeth Collins, Associate Director of Equity Research, Morningstar.

Hi Lou,

I follow your analysis regularly. Wondering if you could comment on Lake Shore Gold.

Their balance sheet looks okay and their cost of production is good but the stock is in the dumper.

Story continues below advertisement

My original cost was $4 and I added to it when it got to 28 cents.

Your thoughts would be appreciated.

Jerry

Hey Jerry,

Thanks for the assignment.

This will be the fourth time since 2010 that I inspect the particulars relevant to Lake Shore Gold Corp. The last occasion was on Oct. 19, 2012, when the shares were trading for $0.80. Robbie was interested in the stock and sought my opinion. The analysis undertaken at the time identified that the shares had been in a long decline that started with the breach of the previously established uptrend line in May of 2011. A death cross formed in June of that year alerting investors that they could expect more selling pressure.

An examination of the MACD and the RSI didn't express any signals that the shares were about to reverse the downtrend. It was advised not to chase the stock. Retrospectively that was the right call as LSG continued to shred shareholder value.

Story continues below advertisement

The shares hit a 52-week low of $0.16 in June of 2013 where it caught a bounce that gathered steam giving rise to an advance that broke above the downtrend line by September. An audit of the charts will provide guidance on how best to proceed with your investment.

The three year chart has a number of patterns worth examining. I cited the development of the advance that started in June of 2013. In addition a golden cross formed in December that saw the shares run to the 52-week high of $1.00 in March of 2014. The stock pulled back from established resistance near $1.00 and is now retesting support along the 50-day moving average. Finally the MACD and the RSI both generated sell signals in February ahead of the retreat.

The six-month chart highlights the February sell signals generated by the MACD and the RSI and the buy signal that formed in early April. The pullback from the 52-week high found support at $0.70 where it caught a bounce to resistance at $0.90.

You stated that you bought your first shares at $4.00 so creating a significant loss that you have been carrying for at least three years. Depending on how much you bought at $0.28 you might consider getting your adjusted cost to zero in concert with a tax loss sale of your higher priced shares so you are not paying taxes on a hard earned capital gain. Do the math and see which is the best way to go.

Current production is forecast to last for another five years. Clearly the longer future of LSG is premised on developing new deposits in close proximity to its current operations. That's what we used to call next year country out west. Finally, consider the price of gold. As it goes, so goes this stock.

Make it a profitable day and happy capitalism!

Story continues below advertisement

Have your own question for Lou? Send it in to lou@happycapitalism.com.

Your Globe

Build your personal news feed

  1. Follow topics and authors relevant to your reading interests.
  2. Check your Following feed daily, and never miss an article. Access your Following feed from your account menu at the top right corner of every page.

Follow the author of this article:

Follow topics related to this article:

View more suggestions in Following Read more about following topics and authors
Report an error Editorial code of conduct
Tickers mentioned in this story
Due to technical reasons, we have temporarily removed commenting from our articles. We hope to have this fixed soon. Thank you for your patience. If you are looking to give feedback on our new site, please send it along to feedback@globeandmail.com. If you want to write a letter to the editor, please forward to letters@globeandmail.com.

Welcome to The Globe and Mail’s comment community. This is a space where subscribers can engage with each other and Globe staff. Non-subscribers can read and sort comments but will not be able to engage with them in any way. Click here to subscribe.

If you would like to write a letter to the editor, please forward it to letters@globeandmail.com. Readers can also interact with The Globe on Facebook and Twitter .

Welcome to The Globe and Mail’s comment community. This is a space where subscribers can engage with each other and Globe staff. Non-subscribers can read and sort comments but will not be able to engage with them in any way. Click here to subscribe.

If you would like to write a letter to the editor, please forward it to letters@globeandmail.com. Readers can also interact with The Globe on Facebook and Twitter .

Welcome to The Globe and Mail’s comment community. This is a space where subscribers can engage with each other and Globe staff.

We aim to create a safe and valuable space for discussion and debate. That means:

  • Treat others as you wish to be treated
  • Criticize ideas, not people
  • Stay on topic
  • Avoid the use of toxic and offensive language
  • Flag bad behaviour

If you do not see your comment posted immediately, it is being reviewed by the moderation team and may appear shortly, generally within an hour.

We aim to have all comments reviewed in a timely manner.

Comments that violate our community guidelines will not be posted.

UPDATED: Read our community guidelines here

Discussion loading ...

To view this site properly, enable cookies in your browser. Read our privacy policy to learn more.
How to enable cookies