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Airlines that will no longer be majority owned by EU nationals once Britain leaves the European Union face the threat of losing their right to fly within the bloc after Brexit due to share ownership rules.

While they will still be able to fly to and from the EU, operating licenses to fly between destinations within the bloc are reserved for airlines that are majority owned and effectively controlled by EU, EEA or Swiss nationals.

EasyJet, Ryanair and British Airways-owner IAG are among the airline groups likely to be most affected when British shareholders are no longer EU nationals.

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“We have the means and the tools to make sure that we will comply with all rules and regulation,” easyJet Chief Executive Johan Lundgren told reporters, adding that organic growth of EEA shareholders was the preferred route but disenfranchisement was also an option.

EasyJet said on Tuesday that it had increased its non-U.K. EEA ownership to 49 per cent, one percentage point shy of meeting the threshold.

“Compared to other airlines, we’re in a good place on this.”

Many airlines have powers in their articles of association to suspend their voting rights and block share sales to non-EU nationals should they not achieve the threshold of EEA ownership after Brexit.

They include Ryanair, which is Irish-based but has said up to 54 per cent of its shareholders could be non-EU in a hard-Brexit scenario.

WHAT’S THE PROBLEM?

In their political declaration on their future relationship, Britain and the EU said they would negotiate a Comprehensive Air Transport Agreement, and each side has said that even if Britain leaves without a deal, flights will continue.

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But a no-deal Brexit in March would mean Britain stands to leave the bloc without a transitional period in which airlines might be able to sort out their shareholdings.

The EU has said that if an airline no longer fulfills its ownership conditions as a result of Brexit, the operating license will cease to be valid, “subject to any transitional arrangement that may be contained in a possible withdrawal agreement.”

Hugh O’Donovan, a barrister at Keystone Law, said that, while there could be a late, short-term fix to give airlines more time, it seemed unlikely that the EU would soften its stance on the issue.

For its part, Britain has said that it “would not impose nationality restrictions on the conditions for an operating license,” leaving airlines focused on boosting their EEA shareholdings.

IAG “RELAXED”

Questions have been raised over whether IAG, which is over 20-per-cent owned by Qatar Airways, might fall foul of the rules. While famously the owner of British Airways, it is the intra-EU flights of its Spanish Iberia and Vueling brands and Ireland’s Aer Lingus that would be jeopardized.

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After British Airways and Iberia merged in 2011, IAG’s governance structure ensured Britons held at least 50.1 per cent of the voting shares in British Airways, with Spanish nationals holding a majority of voting shares in Iberia, even as the shareholdings carried minimal economic rights.

That distinction between the economic and voting rights has been cited by CEO Willie Walsh as a reason to be “more relaxed” about the firm’s governance after Brexit.

“You could argue that we’ve already done our contingency work,” Mr. Walsh said during IAG’s 2017 Capital Markets Day.

The Spanish government has said it is confident national flag carrier Iberia is a Spanish company and will be able to fly across Europe in the event of a disorderly Brexit, after the Financial Times reported that Brussels had doubts about IAG’s arguments that its individual airlines are domestically owned.

A spokeswoman for IAG said on Tuesday that the group was confident it would comply with the EU’s ownership and control rules after Brexit.

EASYJET ENGAGING INVESTORS

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EasyJet said it was engaging investors across Europe to increase EEA ownership above 50 per cent before Brexit.

Founded by British-Cypriot founder Stelios Haji-Ioannou, he and his family retain a 33-per-cent stake in easyJet and count as EEA shareholders.

Other European airlines do not have this benefit.

Ryanair has said it plans to remove voting rights from all non-EU shareholders and block them from selling their shares to non-EU nationals for a period of time if there is no deal struck before exit day.

Ryanair said it expected the restrictions would only be in place for a short period of months and that they would be eased or removed once 50.1-per-cent EU ownership had been restored.

The Budapest-based but London-listed budget airline Wizz Air has clauses in its own articles of association which would allow it to take similar action.

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Travel group Thomas Cook said it was in “close dialogue” with regulatory bodies in Europe about its contingency plans, “including any structural changes that may be required in the event of no-deal.”

Rival TUI Group said that “it is our aim to continue our business as we do today” and that it was “preparing contingency measures where necessary for different scenarios, including a “hard Brexit.”

Ken Quinn, Global Chair, Aviation at law firm Baker McKenzie, said the EU rules on airline ownership were archaic.

“If they can’t reach a grand deal, then they need to reach a sectoral understanding ... with an eye on consumers, not on the flag on the tail of an airplane,” he told Reuters.

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