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What stocks are short sellers targeting on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) these days? Let’s take a look at some highlights, based on data from analytics firm S3 Partners.

Short sales at the market level

Extrapolating from the short position on the iShares S&P/TSX 60 ETF (XIU-T), short seller sentiment on the direction of the TSX remains bearish. It was $2.67-billion on Nov. 23, slightly higher than $2.65-billion a month ago and noticeably higher than $2.3-billion three months ago.

Short sellers covered $150-million of their positions in the month to Nov. 23. But this did not reduce the aggregate short position because the S&P/TSX 60 Index rallied by 6.5-per-cent during the period and pushed up the value of the short position slightly more than the short covering.

Short sales at the sector level

Almost half of the ten most shorted ETFs are from the cryptocurrency sector. Could this signal that the crypto rout is still ongoing?

In the May edition of the Short sales on the TSX: What bearish investors are betting against column, a table ranking the most shorted ETFs had a similar preponderance of cryptocurrency ETFs – which proved prophetic. This month’s update of the table does not seem to be offering any relief.

Top ETF short positions by percentage of float

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUND (ETF)TICKER% of FLOAT SOLD SHORT
Invesco S&P 500 ESG Index ETFESG.F-T41.20%
Bitcoin ETFEBIT-T27.30%
iShares S&P/TSX 60 ETFXIU-T23.30%
Horizons US Dollar ETFDLR-T16.80%
Purpose Bitcoin ETFBTCC.B-T14.80%
CI Galaxy Bitcoin ETFBTCX.B-T12.00%
CI Galaxy Ethereum ETFETHX.B-T9.70%
iShares S&P/TSX Energy ETFXEG-T7.70%
iShares Core S&P/TSX Capped ETFXIC-T6.60%
BMO S&P/TSX Equal Weight Banks ETFZEB-T5.60%

Source: S3 Partners

Short sales at the company level

After more than a year, Air Canada (AC-T) finally yielded the top spot on the list of companies with the highest percentage of float short. Veritas Investment Research pointed out a couple of weeks ago that Air Canada’s third-quarter earnings report “demonstrates how well the company’s operations have recovered.” Veritas Investment has a buy recommendation on the stock and says: “All signs point to continued strong demand for travel, and a lengthening booking curve is likely to be positive for advance sales.”

Largest short positions in companies by percentage of float (Nov. 23/22)

COMPANYTICKER% OF FLOAT SOLD SHORT
iShares S&P/TSX 60 ETFXIU-T23.2%
Air CanadaAC-T22.8%
Canada Goose HldgsGOOS-T22.7%
Zymeworks IncZYME-N17.7%
Energy Fuels IncEFR-T17.3%
Horizons US Dollar ETFDLR-T16.8%
Aurora Cannabis IncACB-T15.2%
Purpose Bitcoin ETFBTCC/B-T14.8%
Ballard Power SystemsBLDP-T13.7%
Bausch Lomb CorpBLCO-N13.5%
Hut 8 Mining CorpHUT-T13.3%
Lithium Americas CorpLAC-T12.9%
Frontera Energy CorpFEC-T12.9%
Briacell Therapeutics CorpBCT-T12.5%
Meta Materials IncMMAT-Q12.1%
Canopy Growth CorpWEED-T11.6%
Canadian Utilities LtdCU-T11.5%
Hive Blockchain TechnologiesHIVE-T11.5%
Bellus Health IncBLU-T11.0%
Li-Cycle Holdings CorpLICY-N10.9%

Source: S3 Partners

Another indicator of short seller sentiment is the cost to borrow shares. A stock with a high cost to borrow usually means that short sellers are eager to borrow shares to sell short – but there aren’t enough loanable shares available to meet the demand.

Many companies on the list of the most expensive stocks to borrow have had borrow rates over 50 per cent on their shares for over a year or two – for example Chesswood Group Ltd.(CHW-T), Resverlogix Corp. (RVX-T) and Electrovaya Inc. (EFL-T). Some brokers, such as Interactive Brokers, share the borrowing fees with clients who are long such stocks.

Most expensive stocks to borrow in Canada (Nov. 23/22)

COMPANYTICKERCOST TO BORROW (ANNUALIZED)
Idle Lifestyle IncIDLE.X-T117.4%
Mountain Boy Minerals LtdMTB-T108.7%
Cruz Battery Metals CorpCRUZ-T108.2%
Lexagene Holdings IncLXG-T107.9%
ESE Entertainment IncESE-T105.1%
Sprott Physical Platinum & Pladium TrustSPPP.U-T92.2%
Goodfood Market CorpFOOD-T88.8%
Chesswood Group LtdCHW-T74.0%
Nervgen Pharma CorpNGEN-T69.8%
Resverlogix Corp.RVX-T65.9%
Freeman Gold CorpFMAN-T65.7%
Electrovaya IncEFL-T64.8%
Aftermath Silver LtdAAG-T64.3%
Millennial Precious Metals CorpMPM-T63.0%
Hamilton Enhanced Utilities ETFHUTS-T61.9%
Pyrogenesis Canada IncPYR-T61.7%
Opsens IncOPS-T60.8%
Visa Inc - CDRVISA-NE59.7%
Fire & Flower Holdings CorpFAF-T57.7%
Batero Gold CorpBAT-T57.3%
UGE International LtdUGE-T57.0%
Theratechnologies IncTH-T55.8%
Mulvihill Premoum Yield ETFMPY-T54.3%
Minco Silver CorpMSV-T54.1%
BBTV Holdings IncBBTV-T50.9%

Source: https://iborrowdesk.com

It can also be useful to look at large changes in short positions over one- and three-month periods, especially if a large increase in the dollar value of short selling also represents a large percentage increase in the position. Some stocks on the tables with large jumps in short selling (greater than 50 per cent increase for 1 month or 75 per cent increase for 3 months) are: Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM-T), First Quantum Minerals (FM-T), Royal Bank (RY-T), Bausch Health (BHC-T), Turquoise Hill Resources (TRQ-T) and Horizons S&P/TSX 60 ETF (HXT-T).

Largest one-month increases in short positions (30 days to Nov. 23/2022)

COMPANYTICKER1-MONTH CHANGE ($MILLIONS)1-MONTH CHANGE (%)
Enbridge IncENB-T$1,464.725.5%
Royal Bank of CanadaRY-T$1,326.936.1%
Bank of MontrealBMO-T$624.719.6%
Agnico Eagle MinesAEM-T$521.660.3%
Shopify IncSHOP-T$485.024.3%
Manulife FinancialMFC-T$452.324.2%
Tourmaline Oil CorpTOU-T$374.341.9%
Cenovus EnergyCVE-T$289.720.4%
Sun Life FinancialSLF-T$260.820.2%
Imperial Oil LtdIMO-T$240.127.2%
First Quantum MineralsFM-T$227.355.1%
Lululemon AthleticaLULU-Q$222.323.5%
Pembina Pipeline CorpPPL-T$196.515.6%
Restaurant Brands IntlQSR-T$193.224.5%
Telus CorpT-T$171.19.6%
Fortis IncFTS-T$160.920.2%
Wheaton Precious MetalsWPM-T$151.315.4%
Magna IntlMG-T$150.525.0%
Thomson Reuters CorpTRI-T$147.827.9%
Franco-Nevada CorpFNV-T$132.115.0%

Source: S3 Partners

Largest three-month increases in short positions (90 days to Nov. 23/2022)

COMPANYTICKER3-MONTH CHANGE ($MILLIONS)3-MONTH CHANGE (%)
Royal Bank of CanadaRY-T$2,293.784.6%
Bank of MontrealBMO-T$1,271.049.9%
Agnico Eagle MinesAEM-T$734.0112.5%
Cenovus EnergyCVE-T$718.072.5%
Imperial Oil LtdIMO-T$409.157.3%
First Quantum MineralsFM-T$341.9114.9%
Tourmaline Oil CorpTOU-T$335.736.0%
iShares S&P/TSX 60 ETFXIU-T$231.49.5%
Bausch Health Cos IncBHC-T$177.987.8%
Restaurant Brands IntlQSR-T$171.921.2%
Turquoise Hill Resources LtdTRQ-T$117.689.2%
Magna IntlMG-T$114.117.9%
Teck Resources Ltd BTECK.B-T$109.914.1%
Horizons S&P/TSX 60 ETFHXT-T$104.6340.8%
Wheaton Precious MetalsWPM-T$104.210.1%
Kinross GoldK-T$103.533.9%
Intact Financial CorpIFC-T$102.827.0%
Fortis IncFTS-T$98.411.5%
Element Fleet Management CorpEFN-T$97.340.2%
Canopy Growth CorpWEED-T$85.144.4%

Source: S3 Partners

A few methodological notes:

Some short positions may reflect in whole or part hedging and/or arbitrage operations, which are not purely bearish bets. Short positions in inter-listed stocks were summed across exchanges in Canadian dollars. Synthetic long positions occur when an investor purchases stock that was borrowed and sold by a short seller; they were excluded from stock floats for the sake of simplicity. The percentage of float short for ETFs is impacted by the ETF mechanism for creating/redeeming units, which results in almost daily changes in the number of units issued (as a result, the percentage of float short for ETFs may be more volatile than for stocks).

Larry MacDonald also writes at Investing Journey.

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Tickers mentioned in this story

Study and track financial data on any traded entity: click to open the full quote page. Data updated as of 28/05/24 11:57am EDT.

SymbolName% changeLast
XIU-T
Ishares S&P TSX 60 Index ETF
-0.45%33.55
AC-T
Air Canada
-0.98%18.23
CHW-T
Chesswood Group Ltd
-0.68%7.25
RVX-T
Resverlogix Corp
-8.33%0.055
AEM-T
Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd
+0.28%94.09
FM-T
First Quantum Minerals Ltd
+1.81%18.59
RY-T
Royal Bank of Canada
-0.36%143.63
BHC-T
Bausch Health Companies Inc
+0.59%8.56
HXT-T
GX S&P/Tsx 60 Index Corporate Cls ETF
-0.46%56.85

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