U.S. and Canadian stocks closed lower in volatile trading on Wednesday following a policy announcement by the Federal Reserve that raised interest rates by an expected 50 basis points but projected higher rates to come over a longer period.
The central bank projected at least an additional 75 basis points of increases in borrowing costs by the end of 2023, as well as a rise in unemployment and a near-stalling of economic growth.
The Fed’s latest quarterly summary of economic projections shows U.S. central bankers see the policy rate - now in the 4.25%-to-4.5% range - at 5.1% by the end of next year, according to the median estimate of all 19 Fed policymakers, up from the 4.6% view at the end of September.
In comments after the statement, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said it was too soon to talk about cutting rates as the focus is on making the central bank’s policy stance restrictive enough to push inflation down to its 2% goal.
Economic data on Tuesday, which showed cooling consumer inflation for November, had heightened expectations a move by the Fed to halt rate hikes might be on the horizon next year.
“They may be using these sort of very aggressive dot plot forecasts to take any steam out of the easing that has gone on in the last couple of months,” said Rhys Williams, chief strategist at Spouting Rock Asset Management in Bryn Mawr, Pennsylvania, said of Feb policymakers.
“Conditions have eased, and that is their way of jawboning they are not going to let any easing really happen until they see unemployment go up.”
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 142.29 points, or 0.42%, to 33,966.35, the S&P 500 lost 24.33 points, or 0.61%, to 3,995.32 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 85.93 points, or 0.76%, to 11,170.89.
Nearly all of the 11 major S&P sectors ended the session in negative territory, with healthcare the sole advancer. Financials, down 1.29%, were the worst performing sector.
Despite the Fed statement, U.S. Treasury yields were slightly lower after initially jumping in the wake of the announcement.
The strategy of aggressive interest rate increases by major central banks around the world this year has increased worries the global economy could be pushed into a recession and weighed heavily on riskier assets such as equities this year.
Each of the three major averages on Wall Street are on track for their first yearly decline since 2018, and their biggest yearly percentage decline since the financial crisis of 2008.
In Toronto Wednesday, the S&P/TSX composite index ended down 131.81 points, or 0.7%, at 19,891.65. The market’s heavily-weighted financials group fell 0.9%, while both industrials and consumer staples ended 0.7% lower.
Canadian stocks have recovered sharply from their October lows on hopes the Fed and other major central banks may temper their aggressive rate-hike stances following signs that inflation may have peaked.
Among individual stock moves, TC Energy Corp shares ended 2% lower in Toronto. The company said it expects to give an update on the Keystone pipeline restart later on Wednesday, a week after the 622,000 barrel-per-day pipeline was shut after leaking oil into a creek in Kansas.
Tesla Inc slipped 2.58% after a Goldman Sachs analyst trimmed the price target for the electric-vehicle maker’s stock.
Charter Communications Inc tumbled 16.38% as brokerages cut their price targets following the telecom services firm’s mega-spending plans for a higher-speed internet upgrade.
Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.15 billion shares, compared with the 10.55 billion-share average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.
Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.39-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.42-to-1 ratio favored decliners.
The S&P 500 posted eight new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 223 new lows.
Reuters, Globe staff
Be smart with your money. Get the latest investing insights delivered right to your inbox three times a week, with the Globe Investor newsletter. Sign up today.