Canada’s main stock index ended lower on Friday as technology stocks fell, but the decline was modest as domestic data showing a surprise increase in retail sales provided a positive signal for the economy. U.S. stocks ended little changed as investors watched the start of the seasonal shopping season for signs of consumer resiliency.
The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index ended down 13.55 points, or 0.1%, at 20,103.11. For the week, it was down 0.4%, giving back some of its recent gains.
Activity was lighter than usual activity due to holiday-shortened trading for U.S. markets.
“The big hitters (on Wall Street) have gone shopping so it’s otherwise pretty quiet here,” said Colin Cieszynski, chief market strategist at SIA Wealth Management. “The only news that was notable out of Canada was the retail sales report which was spectacular.”
Canadian retail sales exceeded expectations to grow by 0.6% in September from August, and were seen likely to gain 0.8% in October. The data countered recent evidence that the economy was flirting with a recession.
“If people are still willing to spend money that’s a good sign for the economy,” Cieszynski said.
The Toronto market’s technology and utilities sectors both lost 0.4% but heavily-weighted financials ended in positive territory, gaining 0.1%.
On Wall Street, the S&P 500 closed nominally higher, while the Dow eked out a modest gain. The Nasdaq was dragged slightly lower by weakness in megacap momentum stocks.
All three indexes notched their fourth consecutive weekly gains.
“We had mixed macroeconomic data and the post-Thanksgiving session is only half a day, so there aren’t that many participants,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York. “But we’re seeing a market that’s on the right path of a year-end rally.”
Retailers around the world were attempting to attract millions of shoppers, many offering steep “Black Friday” discounts the day after the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday.
“Consumers are being very frugal and while they might spend, they’re looking for bargains,” Cardillo added. “The higher cost of money is hitting consumers’ pocketbook.”
A survey by NRF, a U.S. retail trade group, showed U.S. shoppers are planning to spend an average of US$875 on holiday purchases this year, an annual increase of about 5%.
S&P Global’s advance purchasing managers’ index (PMI) showed steady U.S. business activity in November, but private sector employment declined for the first time in almost 3-1/2 years, possibly due to the Federal Reserve’s restrictive monetary policy.
Next week’s most anticipated U.S. data include the Commerce Department’s second estimate on third-quarter gross domestic product on Thursday, followed on Friday by its wide-ranging Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, which will provide further clues on the extent of the Fed’s rate-hike impact.
Canadian economic data next week includes third-quarter GDP and November jobs numbers.
The focus on Wall Street has increasingly shifted to the likely timing of the U.S. central bank’s first rate cut, which will be largely determined by the rate at which inflation cools down toward the Fed’s average 2% target.
New and pending home sales, home prices, consumer prices and ISM PMI are also expected next week.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 117.12 points, or 0.33%, to 35,390.15, the S&P 500 gained 2.72 points, or 0.06%, at 4,559.34 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 15.00 points, or 0.11%, to 14,250.86.
Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, nine ended with gains, led by healthcare. Communication services and tech closed in the red.
Nvidia dipped 1.9% after Reuters reported a delay in the launch of the company’s China-focused AI chip designed to comply with U.S. export rules until the first quarter of 2024.
IRobot surged 39.1% in the wake of a report that Amazon is set to win unconditional EU antitrust approval for its $1.4 billion acquisition of the robot vacuum maker.
Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 2.64-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.29-to-1 ratio favored advancers. The S&P 500 posted 23 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 77 new highs and 51 new lows. Volume on U.S. exchanges was 4.97 billion shares, compared with the 10.49 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.
Reuters, Globe staff