If Canada follows through on plans to crack down on miscreant youth, it'll be one of the few jurisdictions in the world heading in that direction.
And the tough-on-crime approach in the face of contrary evidence is bemusing international observers.
Judges, criminologists and policy-makers in the United States, Britain and Australia – countries whose systems, for the most part, closely resemble Canada's – can't figure out why this country is planning to shift toward a jail-intensive approach. Everyone else seems to be doing the opposite, not for ideological reasons, but because evidence shows it works.
"It's somewhat ironic, actually," said Marc Mauer, executive director of the Washington, D.C.-based Sentencing Project, which studies jail policy across the United States.
"After nearly four decades of the so-called 'get tough' movement in the U.S., which has meant sending more people to prisons [and]keeping them there for longer periods of time, there's beginning to be a shift away from that."
Ottawa's intention to adopt principles of deterrence and denunciation when it comes to sentencing teens makes no sense to Judge Jimmie Edwards. He's chief justice of the juvenile division of Missouri, an otherwise conservative state that for half a century has focused on diverting youth from the prison system, and rehabilitating the ones that are incarcerated. Now, the "Missouri Model" is being adopted elsewhere.
"I don't think it deters anything," he said. "You have to look at what type of community are you building by constantly sending kids to jail."
Bob Ashford calls it the three cherries on the slot machine: Fewer teens committing crimes, fewer teens in custody and fewer teens reoffending once they're out.
That's the multi-year trend Britain is looking at when it comes to youth justice. But it's not an obvious correlation, by any means. And the method – pour money into prevention and rehabilitation, in the hopes it will pay off years down the road – was a tough sell for the man in charge of prevention strategy in the Youth Justice Board of England and Wales.
Now, he has £32-million a year (about $49-million; or the amount it costs to keep 405 British youths in jail for a year) to put toward programs designed to catch potential young criminals before they commit crimes, and more on top of that to divert those facing charges out of the prison system, and rehabilitate anyone who does end up in custody.
A couple of years ago, he was invited to Canada to give a talk on his program's success. He spoke in Vancouver and Montreal, and was encouraged to see a country receptive to more innovative alternatives to locking teens up.
"Our approach has been to say, 'There are too many young people in custody.' … Prison not only doesn't work in terms of preventing reoffending, it's also extremely expensive. And that's not to anyone's benefit."
As of Aug. 1, Texas will have a total of six youth-incarceration institutions – down from 15 four years ago.
That's a huge shift for a state that in 2007 was embroiled in horror stories of teens facing harsh, abusive conditions far from home. Damning national headlines and allegations of mistreatment from hundreds of youth sparked a sea change in the way the state tackles juvenile delinquency.
"There's been a real shift to make sure that we really look at the youth, the seriousness of the offence and the youth's risk to reoffend, and only incarcerate those that are the highest risk in terms of public safety," said Texas Youth Commission executive director Cherie Townsend.
"We had some horrible things occur which really got our attention. And we then re-evaluated."
In the past two years alone, Ms. Townsend has seen more therapeutic services, educational and vocational programs on offer for close to two-thirds of the teens who come through her doors and, for youth who do end up in prison, a focus on transitioning back to their home community, "so there's a greater chance for successful re-entry."
Now, her organization is almost a victim of its own success: As youth-incarceration rates are halved in a matter of years and the state looks for ways to save money, the organizations dealing with imprisoned youth are seeing cutbacks of their own.
"Certainly, we've had some very significant cuts," Ms. Townsend said, "but the investment in education and re-entry stays."
For more than two decades, youth-incarceration rates in Australia trended in one direction: down.
That started to change about four years ago, when the trend was reversed and the number of young people being put in custody rose – by as much as 40 per cent over two years in one state.
This spring the government of New South Wales responded to consternation over rising rates of teens locked up by pledging to review the Bail Act, a law critics point to as a major factor in sending more youth to jail since it was last amended in 2007.
The Bail Act, a product of Australia's most-populous state, was supposed to crack down on offenders of all ages who'd been dodging bail or breaching conditions. But it had the unintended result of sending youth-incarceration rates soaring, especially for teens awaiting trial.
Now, the state's premier has vowed to change that.
"There's been a lot of outcry," said Kelly Richards, a senior researcher with the Australian Institute of Criminology. "It's been identified as a big problem given that detention is supposed to be the last resort. Obviously, it's not quite, perhaps, being used as it should be."
Feedback from readers on the youth crime series:
"Incarceration and crime rates are significantly less in Europe because they pour more money into community prevention programs, rather than spending after a crime is committed. It's a simple business model–be pro-active, not reactive."
"I am a former social worker and a former cop. It has been my experience that most 'bad' kids will grow up and become like the rest of us, just trying to feed our families. We have all done stupid things as kids. Throwing a kid in jail is not the solution, unless we need to be protected from the little darling. They only get victimized by predators and learn to be much better criminals."
"I would hope that youth advocates realize the value in publicizing the names of young criminals. Maybe then their parents would have an incentive to make sure they behave. But there is an industry built up around the idea that families can't take care of their own, so we have to hire a lot of disinterested strangers to take care of them."
- Terry McManus