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Below are the latest weekly tracking results from Nanos Research. Globe and Mail subscribers have exclusive access to the political numbers Tuesday afternoons, before they're released publicly on Wednesdays. Read our editor's note. Nik Nanos, chairman of Nanos Research (@niknanos on Twitter), introduces this week's numbers:

Twenty nine per cent of Canadians chose Harper as their preferred Prime Minister, 28 per cent chose Mulcair, 22 per cent chose Trudeau, and five per cent chose May.

The NDP score highest on the Nanos Party Power Index, which is a composite political score also declined over the same period. The New Democrats registered highest on the index with 54 out a possible 100 points, while the Liberals scored 51 points, the Conservatives 49 points and the Greens registered 32 points.

Prior to the ramp up of our nightly tracking program we will continue to take a look at our four week rolling average of political sentiment.  As a composite score of a series of variables ranging from the ballot, vote consideration and leadership, the Nanos Party Power Index is a leading indicator of likely opinion.  When underlying values or attributes move in favour of a party or a leader, votes usually follow.  Our focus, in our four week rolling average is on the direction of sentiment.

Recent Nanos issue polling for The Globe: What Canadians think about pension plans and tax-free savings accounts, Ottawa's budget priorities, carbon pricing, balancing security and freedoms, and environmental leadership.

Nanos Party Power IndexNational breakdown

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The led the Nanos Party Power Index this week, a composite measure that weighs a party's brand popularity, with a score of . The came in second with while the ended the week in third with .

Methodology
The Nanos Party Power Index Tracking is based on a composite of the following public opinion measures: the national ballot, which party individuals would consider voting for, the top two choices for Prime Minister, and whether each party leader has good leadership qualities. There are wider margins of accuracy for age subsamples.
January 19, 2015

Nanos Party Power Index Party score by gender

  • Liberal
  • Conservative
  • NDP
  • Green
  • Bloc
January 19, 2015

Leadership scores: Do they have qualities of a good leader?

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Preferred Prime Minister: First ranked preference for Prime Minister

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Respondents picked as their first-ranked preference for prime minister this week with a score of per cent. came in second with per cent while ended the week in third with per cent.

January 19, 2015

Methodology

Nanos’s results are based on random telephone interviews (both landline and cell) with 1,000 Canadians, using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents per week. The results may be weighted by age and gender. The numbers are considered accurate plus or minus 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The latest survey window ended December 9, 2014.

About Nanos Research

Nanos Research is regularly called upon by senior executives to provide counsel on a wide range of issues including corporate mergers, public advocacy campaigns, reputation management and regulatory issues. For more information contact Nik Nanos at nnanos@nanosresearch.com or visit www.nanosresearch.com.