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By Gloria Galloway (@glorgal)
The dynamics of the federal election campaign suggest that Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau and NDP Leader Tom Mulcair may have to find common ground after October 19 – and both seem eager to proactively increase the influence of women in the public sphere.
Mr. Trudeau has promised that half of a Liberal cabinet would be women.
And Mr. Mulcair says an NDP government would require that women hold at least 40 per cent of all the seats on the boards of publicly traded, federally regulated companies. That could have implications for an Air Canada where just two of 11 board members are women, or Bell Canada Enterprises where just two of 13 board members are women.
Mr. Mulcair released a 72-page platform last week that contained a myriad of proposals he says he would implement if the NDP formed government. But the promise to put more women on boards seems to be a favourite – he goes to some effort to highlight it whenever he spots an opportunity.
"Women have incredibly valuable contributions to make to Canadian businesses – but gender balance at the boardroom table has been elusive," said the NDP Leader. "Our approach will ensure that women are at the table where their talents, experiences and skills can benefit companies and help grow our economy."
DAILY TRACKING FROM NANOS RESEARCH
Nik Nanos: "Liberals hit an election high - largely at expense of the NDP."
> Conservatives: 29.4 per cent (down 2.2 from last week)
> NDP: 23.7 per cent (down 0.5 from last week)
> Liberals: 37.1 per cent (up 3.6 from last week)
> Green: 4.3 per cent (down 0.3 from last week)
> Bloc: 5.0 per cent (down 0.6 from last week)
Nanos conducts daily tracking for The Globe and Mail and CTV. A three-day rolling sample of 1,200 Canadians are contacted through phone (cell and landline). The margin of error is 2.8 points. Click here for Nanos methodology.
WHAT YOU SHOULD KNOW THIS MORNING
> The Globe asked the candidates: What is it about your personal leadership style – not the party, not the platform – that makes you best suited for the job of prime minister?
> The Liberals' campaign co-chair has resigned after it came to light he advised TransCanada about possible incoming governments.
> The Conservatives and Liberals are trading attacks in the battle for immigrant votes.
> Elections Canada promises many of the issues causing frustration during advance polling are unlikely to blight election day proper.
> Canada's prime minister will face postelection pressure to increase Canada's commitment to combat global warming.
TODAY'S ELECTION SIMULATION
The Liberals surge back in Ontario to take a total of 132 seats, more than the Conservatives' 122, and with the NDP holding the 55-seat balance of power. Try your hand at our simulator and find out what could happen if an election were held today.
Overall, the Liberals currently have a 67 per cent chance of winning the most seats.
WHERE THE LEADERS ARE
All the leaders are in Quebec today. Conservative Leader Stephen Harper is in Trois-Rivieres, Que., this morning and Drummondville in the afternoon.
NDP Leader Thomas Mulcair is in Alma, Cookshire-Eaton and Sherbrooke in the evening.
Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau visits Montreal, Laval and Sainte-Thérèse.
FROM AN ELECTION ADVANTAGE TO A STRATEGIC FAILURE
The Conservatives used every trick in the political playbook to try to win re-election, but unless every opinion poll is wrong (a possibility, of course), they are headed for defeat. If they lose, it will not be for lack of trying, Jeffrey Simpson writes.
WHAT EVERYONE'S TALKING ABOUT
"For Justin Trudeau, there is a danger that it will sound like triumphalism, that he's a leader who thinks victory is in the bag and is now asking for the whole thing, a majority government – and that those who were thinking about voting Liberal but aren't totally convinced might pull back. Ask Conservative Leader Stephen Harper about that: Talking about a majority was a disaster for his 2004 campaign." – Campbell Clark on the Liberals.
David Parkinson (Globe and Mail): "There's a saying that dates back to ancient Greece: In war, truth is the first casualty. If that's the case, then on economic policy, Stephen Harper's Conservatives are at war."
Konrad Yakabuski (Globe and Mail): "Quebec's effortlessly ambidextrous voters are showing off again. Some people who backed the Bloc Québécois until the final days of the 2011 federal election campaign before switching to the New Democrats are now flirting with marking a ballot for Justin Trudeau's Liberals.."
Adrienne Clarkson (Globe and Mail): "We have become used to a pall of total silence falling on negotiations or discussions between the prime minister and the governor-general."
Martin Patriquin (Maclean's): "Even a small shift of the all-important francophone vote away from the NDP has had implications for the party, the province and the country."
LOOKAHEAD: WHAT TO EXPECT THIS WEEK
Leaders are campaigning furiously in the lead-up to the vote next Monday.
At least two premiers are hitting the campaign trail, too. Ontario Premier Kathleen Wynne will stump for Liberal candidates in Ajax and Toronto today, while Alberta Premier Rachel Notley will campaign for Tom Mulcair in Alberta on Friday.
The election is in 4 days.
This newsletter is produced by Chris Hannay and Steve Proceviat.