Skip to main content

The Globe and Mail

Vote: Who do you think will win the 2012 presidential election?

An Obama supporter records the moment at a campaign rally in Sterling, Va. Nov. 5, 2012.


The U.S. election is coming down to the wire, with Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney furiously campaigning across a handful of swing states.

Late Tuesday night, after voting stations close, we should (hopefully) know who the next president of the United States is.

Polls have been remarkably close and at this point it's hard to predict for sure who will win.

Story continues below advertisement

So we throw it to you. Who do you think will win the 2012 presidential election? Fill out the survey below.

We also asked members of our Election 2012: Canadians in America series to give us their predictions. They're a network of Canadian expats (most of whom are Globe readers) who have given us their insights from across the United States during the last few months. Here are their predictions. How do yours line up?

All of our expats expected Mr. Obama to win:

Romney dealt a strong blow in the first debate, but Obama recovered well in the next two and showed solid leadership during Hurricane Sandy. Chris Christie buddying-up with the President in recent days probably seals the deal. – Sri Artham, San Francisco, Calif.

I have been extremely impressed with how Romney has come back in the past month and a half. He's even a narrow lead in the national vote in many polls. However, Obama simply has a lead in too many swing states. While numerous states are very close and look like they could swing to Romney and give him enough Electoral College votes to win (Iowa, New Hampshire, Ohio, etc) the fact that Obama has never trailed in most of these states leads me to expect his re-election on Tuesday. – Luke MacDonald, Provo, Utah.

...but some predicted he could lose the popular vote, even while winning the presidency (thanks to the complicated electoral system):

The downfall of the electoral system is that one candidate (read Al Gore) can have the popular vote, but the other wins. Bottom line, Obama will take the key states to get enough electoral votes. – Andrew Grimson, Hanover, N.H.

Story continues below advertisement

I think that the popular vote is a toss up, with Romney possibly winning (although the most recent national polls have Obama up, very slightly). However, the national vote is largely irrelevant: Obama is winning in most of the swing state polls, which is what will translate into the Electoral College Votes he needs to win handily. – David Levine, New York City.

And some think Mr. Obama will win, but would rather it was Mr. Romney:

The huge population centres of New York and California that are solidly democrat overwhelms the smaller more conservative states. – Dennis Sifton, Williamsburg, Va.

What do you think?

Report an error Editorial code of conduct Licensing Options
As of December 20, 2017, we have temporarily removed commenting from our articles. We hope to have this resolved by the end of January 2018. Thank you for your patience. If you are looking to give feedback on our new site, please send it along to If you want to write a letter to the editor, please forward to