Skip to main content
The Globe and Mail
Support Quality Journalism.
The Globe and Mail
First Access to Latest
Investment News
Collection of curated
e-books and guides
Inform your decisions via
Globe Investor Tools
per week
for first 24 weeks

Enjoy unlimited digital access
Enjoy Unlimited Digital Access
Get full access to
Just $1.99 per week for the first 24 weeks
Just $1.99 per week for the first 24 weeks
var select={root:".js-sub-pencil",control:".js-sub-pencil-control",open:"o-sub-pencil--open",closed:"o-sub-pencil--closed"},dom={},allowExpand=!0;function pencilInit(o){var e=arguments.length>1&&void 0!==arguments[1]&&arguments[1];select.root=o,dom.root=document.querySelector(select.root),dom.root&&(dom.control=document.querySelector(select.control),dom.control.addEventListener("click",onToggleClicked),setPanelState(e),window.addEventListener("scroll",onWindowScroll),dom.root.removeAttribute("hidden"))}function isPanelOpen(){return dom.root.classList.contains(}function setPanelState(o){dom.root.classList[o?"add":"remove"](,dom.root.classList[o?"remove":"add"](select.closed),dom.control.setAttribute("aria-expanded",o)}function onToggleClicked(){var l=!isPanelOpen();setPanelState(l)}function onWindowScroll(){window.requestAnimationFrame(function() {var l=isPanelOpen(),n=0===(document.body.scrollTop||document.documentElement.scrollTop);n||l||!allowExpand?n&&l&&(allowExpand=!0,setPanelState(!1)):(allowExpand=!1,setPanelState(!0))});}pencilInit(".js-sub-pencil",!1); // via darwin-bg var slideIndex = 0; carousel(); function carousel() { var i; var x = document.getElementsByClassName("subs_valueprop"); for (i = 0; i < x.length; i++) { x[i].style.display = "none"; } slideIndex++; if (slideIndex> x.length) { slideIndex = 1; } x[slideIndex - 1].style.display = "block"; setTimeout(carousel, 2500); } //

In this image from video, the vote total, 53-47 for not guilty, on the second article of impeachment, obstruction of congress, is displayed on screen during the impeachment trial against President Donald Trump.

The Associated Press

During his State of the Union speech on Tuesday, some of U.S. President Donald Trump’s Republican colleagues in Congress started chanting, “Four more years!” Come November, that’s what the world could be in for.

Mr. Trump’s re-election is looking increasingly likely. And if the Democratic Party doesn’t get its act together, and soon, it could become inevitable.

It’s been a good week for Mr. Trump; since the night of his surprise election, it might be his best ever. That sounds like the sort of over-the-top thing he might have said about the tastiness of Trump Steaks or the impeccable educational offerings at Trump University, except in this case the hyperbole isn’t misplaced.

Story continues below advertisement

Senate votes to acquit Trump of impeachment charges

Opinion: Donald Trump is winning, and Nancy Pelosi knows it

Who’s suing the Trump administration? A guide to the cases still to be heard, and who’s won and lost so far

On Tuesday morning, Gallup released a poll showing his approval rating is at its highest-ever level – 49 per cent. That night, he delivered the President’s annual report to Congress, and did so without even mentioning impeachment. Which was just as well because, on Wednesday, the charges against him went bye-bye, with the Republican-dominated Senate voting to acquit.

Mr. Trump once claimed that he could shoot somebody in the middle of New York’s busy Fifth Avenue and not lose any of his loyal voters.

“It’s, like, incredible,” he said at the time.

Those are not exactly the words we’d use to describe the situation – we were thinking more of terms such as “troubling” or “despair-inducing” – but at this point it feels as though he might be right. A few GOP Senators worked up the courage to criticize Mr. Trump for using threats and public money to pressure the government of Ukraine into becoming part of the dirty-tricks branch of his re-election campaign, but on Wednesday only one, Senator Mitt Romney of Utah, dared to vote to remove him from office for it.

Meanwhile, the only thing between Mr. Trump and another term in office – that would be the Democratic Party – was still trying to figure out who won its Iowa caucuses.

The cause was the crashing of an untested and unnecessary vote-counting app, which left the party that claims to hold the key to a better future for America looking as though it was still trying to find the Post-It note with the password for its dial-up internet connection.

Mr. Trump gleefully tweeted that it was an “unmitigated disaster.” For Democrats, yes. He declared himself the winner of the Democratic Iowa caucus. Again, no hyperbole.

Story continues below advertisement

As for the Republican Party, it is now well and truly Mr. Trump’s party. Back in 2016, the GOP had a big group of “Never Trumpers” who were dead-set against his takeover of American conservatism, but that’s ancient history. Non-Trumpian conservatives still run think tanks and write op-eds, but there aren’t many in elected office.

Which means that the only way the U.S. government will change, and change course, is if a Democrat moves into the White House. For that to happen, a Democrat has to win in November. And for that to be possible, the Democrats have to nominate someone who can not only get out the vote of loyal Democrats but also win over swing voters – people who voted for Mr. Trump in 2016 and might do so again.

A handful of states matter, mostly in the Midwest and near the Canadian border. The Democrats have to nominate someone whose personality and policies will appeal to those people, rather than scaring them away.

The four candidates who look most likely to end up as the Democratic nominee are Pete Buttigieg, a policy moderate and Indiana mayor, pitching himself as the man to win over swing-state voters; former vice-president Joe Biden, who is aiming at the same voters and whose slogan might as well be “Cut the Malarkey, Make America Sane Again"; Bernie Sanders, who wants to radically remake America’s economy and social programs, and who often gives the sense he’d rather be running against other Democrats; and billionaire and former New York mayor Michael Bloomberg, who isn’t even bothering to campaign in the early primaries.

The rest of the planet doesn’t get to vote in American elections, but we have to live with the results. When the elephant gets a cold, we sneeze; when the elephant goes on a rampage, the rest of the world’s crockery gets smashed.

America’s friends are counting on Democratic voters to choose wisely, and then to get out the vote. Otherwise, hunker down for four more years.

Story continues below advertisement

Your Globe

Build your personal news feed

  1. Follow topics and authors relevant to your reading interests.
  2. Check your Following feed daily, and never miss an article. Access your Following feed from your account menu at the top right corner of every page.

Follow topics related to this article:

View more suggestions in Following Read more about following topics and authors
Report an error Editorial code of conduct
Due to technical reasons, we have temporarily removed commenting from our articles. We hope to have this fixed soon. Thank you for your patience. If you are looking to give feedback on our new site, please send it along to If you want to write a letter to the editor, please forward to

Welcome to The Globe and Mail’s comment community. This is a space where subscribers can engage with each other and Globe staff. Non-subscribers can read and sort comments but will not be able to engage with them in any way. Click here to subscribe.

If you would like to write a letter to the editor, please forward it to Readers can also interact with The Globe on Facebook and Twitter .

Welcome to The Globe and Mail’s comment community. This is a space where subscribers can engage with each other and Globe staff. Non-subscribers can read and sort comments but will not be able to engage with them in any way. Click here to subscribe.

If you would like to write a letter to the editor, please forward it to Readers can also interact with The Globe on Facebook and Twitter .

Welcome to The Globe and Mail’s comment community. This is a space where subscribers can engage with each other and Globe staff.

We aim to create a safe and valuable space for discussion and debate. That means:

  • Treat others as you wish to be treated
  • Criticize ideas, not people
  • Stay on topic
  • Avoid the use of toxic and offensive language
  • Flag bad behaviour

If you do not see your comment posted immediately, it is being reviewed by the moderation team and may appear shortly, generally within an hour.

We aim to have all comments reviewed in a timely manner.

Comments that violate our community guidelines will not be posted.

UPDATED: Read our community guidelines here

Discussion loading ...

To view this site properly, enable cookies in your browser. Read our privacy policy to learn more.
How to enable cookies