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Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party set to win re-election with less than majority of seats, while losing some cabinet ministers

Liberal leader Justin Trudeau greets supporters during the Liberal election night party in Montreal, Quebec, Canada, September 21, 2021.Carlos Osorio/Reuters

Tuesday, Sept. 21, 1:43 a.m. ET

NDP and Liberals leading in Nunavut, Northwest Territories, Yukon

Results across Canada’s North were headed in the same direction late Monday as in the last federal election in 2019.

NDP candidate Lori Idlout was leading in Nunavut, where she was surrounded by friends and family at a viewing party at Iqaluit’s food centre.

The Inuk lawyer was hoping to hold on to Mumilaaq Qaqqaq’s seat for the NDP after Qaqqaq decided not to run again.

Idlout said she was hopeful she would be chosen.

Liberal incumbent Michael McLeod was leading in the Northwest Territories, where the riding is experiencing its worst outbreak of COVID-19.

Yukon Liberal candidate and the territory’s former chief medical officer, Brendan Hanley, was also leading in the polls.

- The Canadian Press

Tuesday, Sept. 21, 12:45 a.m. ET

Conservatives lose seats to Liberals, NDP in B.C.’s Lower Mainland

Early election results have the Liberals gaining slight ground in British Columbia, solidifying a trend across the country that had the party on track to form another minority government.

Decisive victories in B.C. went to incumbent Conservative, Liberal and New Democrat candidates by 9 p.m. PT on election night. With a handful of ridings yet undecided, the Conservatives lost ground to both NDP and Liberals in the Lower Mainland.

The Liberals and Conservatives each led in 14 ridings, followed by the NDP with 13 and the Greens with one, although 10 ridings remained undecided.

Federal election: See full results and map from Canada's 2021 election

Liberal cabinet ministers Jonathan Wilkinson, Harjit Sajjan and Carla Qualtrough won re-election, as did NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh in his riding of Burnaby South.

Former Green Party leader Elizabeth May won in Saanich-Gulf Islands. Her only Green counterpart in Parliament, Paul Manly, was trailing both the Conservative and NDP candidates in his riding of Nanaimo-Ladysmith.

When Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau called the election, the standings in B.C. were at 17 Conservatives, 11 Liberals, 11 New Democrats, two Greens and one Independent.

- The Canadian Press

Tuesday, Sept. 21, 12:05 a.m. ET

Liberal Anthony Rota wins re-election

Anthony Rota, who was speaker of the House of Commons at dissolution, won his northern Ontario riding of Nipissing-Timiskaming. As House Speaker, Mr. Rota presided over the House of Commons during the pandemic, shepherding MPs through the growing pains of adjusting to hybrid sittings.

- Staff

Tuesday, Sept. 21, 12:01 a.m. ET

Mike Morrice wins first federal Ontario for Greens in Kitchener Centre

In Kitchener Centre, the Green Party appeared to be on the verge of a long-awaited Ontario breakthrough, thanks in part to a Liberal party candidate withdrawing from the race. Liberal incumbent Raj Saini halted his campaign in early September after a series of allegations of inappropriate behaviour. He denied any wrongdoing. Although his campaign was suspended his name remained on the ballot. Mr. Saini still received nearly one in five votes. The vote split broke in favour of Green candidate Mike Morrice.

- Staff

Monday, Sept. 20, 11:50 p.m. ET

People’s Party fails to make breakthrough

Despite a slight uptick in national support, People’s Party of Canada Leader Maxime Bernier failed to win the Quebec riding of Beauce, which he held as a Conservative from 2006 until resigning from the party in 2018 following his leadership loss to Andrew Scheer. He is projected to finish second in the riding to Conservative incumbent Richard Lehoux.

People’s Party sees rise in support but fails to win seat

Throughout the campaign, Mr. Bernier courted anti-vaccine sentiments during rallies across the country that often ran afoul of public-health restrictions. He failed to parlay the interest into a single seat, attracting around 5 per cent support nationally, up from 2 per cent in 2019. Another highly touted PPC candidate, Chelsea Hillier, is holding down fourth place in Elgin-Middlesex-London.

- Staff

Monday, Sept. 20, 11:35 p.m. ET

Green Leader Annamie Paul loses bid for Toronto Centre seat

Green Party Leader Annamie Paul lost another long-shot bid to represent Toronto Centre, a Liberal stronghold in downtown Toronto. Ms. Paul had also run for the seat in a by-election last October, losing to the Liberals’ Marci Ien, a political newcomer and former broadcaster.

- Staff

Monday, Sept. 20, 11:25 p.m. ET

Early election results put Liberals in lead as Bloc lose ground in Quebec

Early election results have the Liberals leading in Quebec after a race dominated by frequent appeals to Quebec nationalism.

Shortly after 11 p.m., about 90 minutes after polls closed, the Liberals were elected or leading in 36 ridings in the province, while the Bloc was elected or leading in 29.

The Liberals, who are projected to win the most seats across the country, had entered the election with 35 seats in the province, compared with 32 for the Bloc.

The Conservatives, who had 10 Quebec seats going into the election and received a boost from Quebec Premier François Legault during the campaign, were elected or leading in 11 ridings.

The NDP, which entered the election with one seat in the province, was elected or leading in two ridings.

People’s Party of Canada Leader Maxime Bernier lost in his riding of Beauce to the Conservative incumbent, Richard Lehoux, while Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau and Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet were re-elected in their Quebec ridings.

- The Canadian Press

Monday, Sept. 20, 11:15 p.m. ET

Liberals fall short of majority

CBC News and CTV News project the Liberals will win the most seats in the House of Commons, but will fall short of a majority of seats.

- Staff

Monday, Sept. 20, 11:10 p.m. ET

Liberal cabinet minister Maryam Monsef loses re-election

Maryam Monsef, the first Afghan-Canadian MP who served in cabinet as minister of women and gender equality and rural economic development, lost her Ontario seat of Peterborough-Kawartha. She trailed Conservative Michelle Ferreri by more than 3,000 votes.

- Staff

Monday, Sept. 20, 10:50 p.m. ET

Former Conservative leadership contender Leslyn Lewis wins first seat

Leslyn Lewis, who emerged from political obscurity to a third-place finish in the 2020 Conservative leadership campaign, won Haldimand-Norfolk for the Conservatives. The Ontario riding is a Conservative stronghold, held since 2004 by former cabinet minister Diane Finley, who announced her resignation in May. Dr. Lewis, a practising lawyer, ran for her party’s leadership on a socially conservative platform, raising more than $2-million.

- Staff

Monday, Sept. 20, 10:30 p.m. ET

Liberals projected to win most seats

CTV News and CBC News have projected that the Liberal Party, led by Justin Trudeau, will win the most seats in the House of Commons. It is not clear yet whether the Liberals will secure 170 seats, a majority of those in the House.

- Staff

Monday, Sept. 20, 10:20 p.m. ET

Bloc Québécois MP Louis Plamondon, Dean of the House of Commons, wins re-election

Louis Plamondon, the longest-serving member of Parliament, has won re-election in the Quebec riding of Bécancour Nicolet–Saurel. Mr. Plamondon was first elected in 1984 as a member of the Progressive Conservatives, and later joined the Bloc Québécois party when it formed.

- Staff

Monday, Sept. 20, 10 p.m. ET

Polls close in British Columbia and Yukon

Polls are now closed in British Columbia and Yukon.

Yukon’s chief medical health officer Dr. Brendan Hanley is on leave to run for the Liberals to replace Larry Bagnell, who spent two decades as the territory’s Liberal MP.

While many ridings in B.C. have remained consistently New Democrat or Conservative, in the North, the Interior and on Vancouver Island results in about a dozen ridings are in question.

One riding that will change is Vancouver Granville, where former Liberal cabinet minister turned Independent Jody Wilson-Raybould didn’t run again.

All polls are now closed.

- The Canadian Press

Monday, Sept. 20, 9:56 p.m. ET

NDP loses sole seat in Atlantic Canada

The NDP is projected to lose its sole seat in Atlantic Canada. Jack Harris has been in a mainstay in St. John’s East, holding the riding on and off since 1987. He announced his retirement this year. The Canadian Press is projecting that his successor, Mary Shortall, will fall to Liberal Joanne Thompson.

- Patrick White

Monday, Sept. 20, 9:49 p.m. ET

Elections Canada expects most mail-in ballots to be counted by Wednesday

The final results of the federal election may not be known until Wednesday, election officials have warned, because of almost one million mail-in ballots that will not be opened until Tuesday.

A clutch of close-run ridings, where mail-in ballots could prove crucial to the result, may have to wait days for a winner to be declared.

Elections Canada expects “the vast majority” of mail-in ballots to be counted by Wednesday. But in some remote ridings, and those with thousands of mail ballots, the result may not be known until Friday.

A record number of people have voted by mail in this election, some because of fears of voting in person during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Local elections agents will begin opening postal ballots on Tuesday morning.

Before they are counted, ballots will be verified by local voting officials. They check to ensure voters have not sent in multiple ballots or have already voted in person in a polling station, as well as to verify the signature.

- The Canadian Press

Monday, Sept. 20, 9:30 p.m. ET

Poll close in Eastern, Central and Mountain time zones

The polls have closed in the majority of the country, including Quebec, Ontario, Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Alberta. Polls close in B.C. at 7 p.m. PT.

- Staff

Monday, Sept. 20, 8:50 p.m. ET

Lawrence MacAulay wins 11th election in PEI

Long-time MP Lawrence MacAulay is projected to win his 11th consecutive election in PEI, according to CBC and The Canadian Press. Mr. MacAulay, who was veterans affairs minister under Justin Trudeau, has represented the riding of Cardigan for more than 30 years.

The Liberals are projected to retain all four seats in the province.

- Staff

Monday, Sept. 20, 8:35 p.m. ET

Conservatives win Nova Scotia seat from Liberal cabinet minister

One of the biggest election stories in Atlantic Canada is in South Shore-St. Margarets in Nova Scotia, where federal fisheries minister Bernadette Jordan was defeated by the Conservatives’ Rick Perkins. The Liberal cabinet minister had been widely criticized by both Mi’kmaq and commercial fishermen for her handling of the Indigenous moderate livelihood fishery issue, in a part of Nova Scotia where the fishing sector is a major employer.

- Staff

Special ballot officers count special ballots from national, international, Canadian Forces and incarcerated electors at Elections Canada's distribution centre in Ottawa on election night of the 44th Canadian general election, on Monday, Sept. 20, 2021.Justin Tang/The Canadian Press

Monday, Sept. 20, 8:30 p.m. ET

Erin O’Toole watches results from Oshawa, Ont.

Conservative Leader Erin O’Toole is waiting to see if his more moderate approach to issues like climate change, spending and abortion pays off with a victory over his Liberal foe.

The 48-year-old will watch election results roll in at a hockey arena in Oshawa, Ont., after a casting a ballot earlier today in his hometown of Bowmanville.

Early results from Atlantic Canada showed Liberals leading in the region, with Conservatives leading in three Nova Scotia seats and two in New Brunswick.

O’Toole has spent his last few campaign appearances asking supporters to come out and vote as polls have shown the two main parties as running neck-and-neck.

The Conservatives have been focused on growing their seat count, particularly in Ontario’s 905 region.

It has also targeted Quebec, where the party has struggled to gain major ground since it was formed.

- The Canadian Press

Monday, Sept. 20, 8:25 p.m. ET

Dominic LeBlanc re-elected in New Brunswick

The Liberals’ Dominic LeBlanc, a close personal friend of Mr. Trudeau, is expected to hold onto the riding of Beauséjour in New Brunswick, CBC and The Canadian Press project.

- Staff

Monday, Sept. 20, 8:05 p.m. ET

Seamus O’Regan re-elected in St. John’s

Seamus O’Regan, a cabinet minister in Justin Trudeau’s Liberal government, won his bid for re-election in St. John’s South-Mount Pearl in Newfoundland and Labrador, CBC and The Canadian Press project.

- Staff

Monday, Sept. 20, 8 p.m. ET

Jagmeet Singh says he is optimistic about election night

Jagmeet Singh says he is excited but also nervous because he doesn’t know exactly what will happen on election night.

The NDP Leader says he’s staying optimistic about the outcome but the choice is now in Canadian’s hands.

The New Democrats have been running an aggressive campaign, visiting 51 ridings, none of which were previously held by the party.

The NDP’s goal for this election is to grow the 24 seats it held in the House of Commons at dissolution.

To do that, Mr. Singh has been laser-focused on Justin Trudeau and what he calls the Liberal Leader’s broken promises around drinking water on First Nations and the housing crisis.

The NDP have campaigned on their own housing strategy, an environmental plan and Indigenous issues, including clean drinking water.

- The Canadian Press

Monday, Sept. 20, 7:50 p.m. ET

Liberals await results in Montreal

The Liberals are gathered at the Fairmont hotel in Montreal, where Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau is watching the results come in with his family. Mr. Trudeau is running in the Montreal riding of Papineau.

The scene is quiet in the convention room, with mostly journalists here. A stage and a podium is set up for the Liberal Leader with campaign images of Mr. Trudeau appearing in the background. There will be a small group of people allowed into the space with a maximum of 250 and about 100 of those are media. A small group of supporters will be allowed into the space.

- Kristy Kirkup in Montreal

Monday, Sept. 20, 7:40 p.m. ET

Polls close in Atlantic Canada

Polls have closed in ridings in Nova Scotia, New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island.

The Liberals swept the region in the 2015 election, but did not fare as well in 2019: the Conservatives won four seats and the Greens had their first Atlantic breakthrough in Fredericton.

- Staff

Monday, Sept. 20, 7 p.m. ET

Polls close in Newfoundland and Labrador; long lines reported in Greater Toronto Area

Polls have closed in Newfoundland and Labrador, launching what’s expected to be a nail-biter finish to the federal election campaign.

Seven seats are at stake in the province. The Liberals held six of them and the NDP one heading into the 36-day campaign.

Many ridings in the Greater Toronto Area are experiencing long waits of up to 90 minutes due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The number of polling stations were slashed as many schools and landlords opted out of hosting crowds of voters during the fourth wave of the pandemic.

Public health protocols involve keeping people at a distance and collecting extra information for contact tracing purposes, which could take extra time.

And, Elections Canada told The Canadian Press it had intermittent issues with a search tool on its website that lets voters know which polling station to go to based on their postal code. The agency urged electors to check their voting cards or call Elections Canada directly if they weren’t sure where to go.

- The Canadian Press

Monday, Sept. 20, 4:45 p.m. ET

Elections Canada reports disruptions at some polling stations as Canadians vote

Elections Canada is reporting a handful of disruptions at polling stations across the country, including an Indigenous-led protest and poll workers not showing up, as millions of Canadians cast their ballots in the country’s first pandemic election.

While the majority of polling stations opened on time and without incident, Elections Canada spokeswoman Diane Benson says issues have been reported with several sites in Ontario and Western Canada, resulting in some stations opening late or having to be relocated.

For voters, a challenging election day concludes without any major issues

Those include a polling station in the riding of Brantford-Brant, southwest of Toronto, which had to be moved following a protest organized by the Haudenosaunee Confederacy Chiefs Council.

Benson also reported that poll workers did not show up for two polls in the Ontario riding of Kenora, near the border with Manitoba. Standby workers from other parts of the region were on their way, she said, with the polls expected to open by mid-afternoon.

Two polling locations in First Nations in the Alberta riding of Grand Prairie-Mackenzie were also late opening due to staff being unable to get into locked buildings. The polls have since opened.

Elections Canada was also aware that a polling location in the B.C. community of Yekooche, in the riding of Skeena-Bulkley Valley, had not opened.

- The Canadian Press

Monday, Sept. 20, 12:50 p.m. ET

Tight race as Canadians vote for next federal government

All of Canada’s major party leaders have cast their ballots in the country’s first pandemic election, which culminates today as Canadians from coast to coast go to the polls.

Elections Canada says almost 6.8 million people voted early, most of them at advanced polls over a week ago, and the rest through special ballots cast by mail or at Elections Canada offices.

Conservative Leader Erin O’Toole and his wife Rebecca arrived Monday morning at a voting station in Bowmanville, Ont., in his riding of Durham, to cast their votes.

Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau cast his ballot in his riding of Papineau, Que., with his three children at his side.

Other leaders voted in advance of election day, including NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh who voted in an advanced poll in Burnaby and Green Party Leader Annamie Paul, who voted by mail.

Bloc Quebecois Leader Yves-Francois Blanchet also voted in advance, but spoke in Drummondville, Que., Monday morning to encourage his supporters to visit their polling stations.

“This is democracy. People send to the Parliament the people they believe will represent them the best,” Blanchet said Monday.

– The Canadian Press

More: It’s neck and neck between the Liberals, Conservatives as voters head to polls

Monday, Sept. 20, 11:30 a.m. ET

In photos: Voters head to the polls

  • Special ballot officers count special ballots from national, international, Canadian Forces and incarcerated electors at Elections Canada's distribution centre in Ottawa on election night of the 44th Canadian general election.Justin Tang/The Canadian Press

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For investors, this election carries more than the usual amount of uncertainty

Stock valuations, particularly those in regulated economic sectors , could see some significant shifts when results from Monday’s vote are clear. Heading into voting day, Bay Street strategists are modelling two scenarios – a second Liberal minority government or a Conservative minority – that imply different winners and losers in Corporate Canada.

Here is how four key sectors of the Canadian economy – energy, financial services, real estate, telecom – are expected to react to a Liberal or Conservative minority government.

-Andrew Willis

A federal election checklist for those still wondering what to do with their vote

Canada is a pretty lucky country. Either Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau or Conservative Leader Erin O’Toole could be trusted to provide competent, responsible government. NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh and Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet have shown the ability to make a minority Parliament work while holding the government to account.

A vote for any of them would be a good choice. However, if you’re still undecided, here is some advice, based on issues you might care about most.

-John Ibbitson

Voter guide

Canada’s 2021 federal election platform guide: compare where the parties stand on top issues

What are the challenges facing the major political parties before Canada votes on Sept. 20?

Canadian federal election 2021: Everything you need to know to vote today

Full results and maps beginning when the polls close

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