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Independent National Electoral Commission agents count votes during an electricity cut while watched by observers at Kiwele college in Lubumbashi, Congo, on Dec. 30, 2018, following the close of polls in the country's presidential, provincial and national elections.CAROLINE THIRION/AFP/Getty Images

Democratic Republic of Congo’s opposition said on Monday it expected one of its candidates to win the presidential election based on early vote tallies, but the ruling coalition said it was confident its candidate had won the chaotic contest.

The competing claims followed a disorderly election day on Sunday in which many Congolese were unable to vote due to an Ebola outbreak, conflict and logistical problems.

After unofficial tallies started to circulate on social media on Monday, mobile internet connections in the capital Kinshasa and other cities slowed down or cut out entirely, residents said, in a possible move by authorities to stop the information from circulating.

Government officials could not be immediately reached for comment. Authorities have cut the internet in the past, saying they sought to stop rumours from spreading during protests.

The vote is meant to choose a successor to Congo President Joseph Kabila after 18 years in power and could lead to the vast central African country’s first ever democratic transition.

But the opposition says the election was marred by fraud and accused Mr. Kabila of planning to rule from the sidelines through his preferred candidate. The government has said the election was fair.

Any disputed outcome could lead to a repeat of the violence that followed the 2006 and 2011 elections and a wider security breakdown, particularly along Congo’s borders with Rwanda, Uganda and Burundi, where dozens of armed militia are active.

Pierre Lumbi, the campaign manager to opposition candidate Martin Fayulu, said in a statement posted on Twitter that Mr. Fayulu was winning after more than a third of votes had been counted.

“The polls are clear: they put … Martin Fayulu easily in the lead,” he said.

Vital Kamerhe, the campaign manager to another opposition candidate, Felix Tshisekedi, said earlier that initial counting showed Mr. Tshisekedi and Mr. Fayulu neck-and-neck in the lead, both with more than 40 per cent of the vote.

He said the ruling coalition candidate, Emmanuel Ramazani Shadary, who is backed by Mr. Kabila, had only about 13 per cent, although a significant part of the vote remained to be tabulated.

Mr. Shadary’s campaign said he will win.

“For us, victory is certain,” Nehemie Mwilanya, Kabila’s chief of staff and a member of Mr. Shadary’s campaign, told a news conference on Monday morning, without providing figures. Shadary’s campaign said it has collected about 30 per cent of the results but will not release any results before the CENI, the national election commission.

The election is a first-past-the-post system with no runoff. The first partial results are expected from CENI on Tuesday.

Opposition officials complained of widespread irregularities, including several instances of what they said was outright fraud in Mr. Shadary’s favour.

According to a Western diplomat, speaking on condition of anonymity, nearly half of polling places opened late, 30 per cent encountered problems due to malfunctioning voting machines or absent voter rolls and 10 to 15 per cent were located in prohibited zones including police posts and private residences.

The most recent opinion poll before the election, released by New York University’s Congo Research Group on Friday, showed Mr. Fayulu, a former Exxon Mobil manager, leading the race on 47 per cent.

Mr. Tshisekedi had 24 per cent and Mr. Shadary 19 per cent.

Election day was mostly peaceful despite several violent incidents, including an altercation at a polling place in eastern Congo in which at least three people were killed.

But the Catholic bishops conference, or CENCO, which deployed thousands of vote monitors, said that many polling places opened late and were located in prohibited areas.

CENI president Corneille Nangaa, however, said the vote had gone smoothly, aside from some minor difficulties, and the CENI rejected charges of fraud.

More than 1.2 million Congolese in three opposition bastions were unable to vote at all after the CENI cancelled the polls there last week, citing an Ebola outbreak and ethnic violence.

However, in the Ebola hot spot of Beni, an opposition stronghold, residents staged a mock presidential election to show the authorities a decision to postpone the vote there due to health fears was unfounded.


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