Chris Ragan is the director of the Max Bell School of Public Policy at McGill University and was chair of Canada’s Ecofiscal Commission.
Let’s face it, Canada’s debate about carbon pricing has become a dumpster fire. Unfortunately, that fire might end up scorching Canadians.
But maybe it’s not too late to douse the flames.
While the current federal government introduced carbon pricing, it has recently undermined the coherence of the policy. Carbon pricing works at low cost to reduce greenhouse gas emissions precisely because it lets the market – not politicians – identify low-cost actions. When the federal government exempted home heating oil last fall, it weakened that principle and ignited a political firestorm. In addition, it created market uncertainty by setting expectations that future political challenges might lead to further policy erosion.
Even though the policy is well designed overall, the federal government has failed in terms of explaining it to Canadians. Most people, for example, don’t know they are getting quarterly rebate cheques that, for the vast majority of them, fully offset the impact on their monthly budgets. And many of those who notice the cheques don’t see why they make sense, even though the carbon price still incentivizes them to reduce their own emissions.
At the same time, the various political opponents are cynically exploiting this information gap. It is politically convenient to claim that carbon pricing is all cost and no benefit for consumers, but it simply isn’t true.
Maybe the most egregious omission from the opponents’ speaking points is the absence of proposed alternatives. If Canada is not going to use carbon pricing, then how will we reduce greenhouse gas emissions? Expensive subsidies for clean technologies like those in the U.S.? Regulatory policies like the Clean Fuel Regulation, even though the opponents tend to dislike these kinds of policies, too?
Though opposition to carbon pricing is certainly legitimate, any serious political opponent surely needs to state their preferred alternative. But it’s pretty quiet on that front. It almost makes you think they don’t care about climate change.
I know that theatre and blood sport is part of politics. But what a shame that our political debate has become so devoid of real information.
Because here’s the thing. Carbon pricing isn’t the only climate policy in town, but it sure is a good one, for three main reasons.
First, carbon pricing costs a lot less than alternative policies, even though the high costs of those alternatives tend to be hidden. Subsidies for emissions-reducing technologies require public dollars raised through more taxation. Spending more on cleantech means spending less on other things or having higher budget deficits. Regulations tend to be very intrusive and require specific actions that firms and consumers wouldn’t otherwise take, increasing costs.
Second, carbon pricing creates incentives for innovation. Opponents of carbon pricing love to talk about how “technology” will be the fix. And it might be. But technology doesn’t just drop from the sky – technological change follows market incentives, including those created by taxes. And while innovation reduces the costs of reducing emissions, it also creates opportunities for Canadian firms to export our technologies to other countries. Steady, predictable carbon pricing helps attract international capital for low-carbon, clean-growth projects that very well might be at the heart of our future economic growth.
But most of all: carbon pricing works. It works because markets work. When emissions are more expensive, consumers find ways to avoid paying those costs. Carbon pricing has already reduced emissions in B.C. and Quebec and other jurisdictions that got a head start. It’s working today in the rest of Canada, and it will have even more impact in the future if we let it rise over time, as planned.
At the end of the day, the central imperative is to reduce emissions. Carbon pricing doesn’t have to be the main policy lever – though I sure think it should be. The alternative policies can get the job done, but only at a higher cost. The less we rely on carbon pricing, the more we will have to rely on those costlier approaches.
What’s worse than political dumpster fires? Forest fires. Heat waves. Droughts. A Canadian economy stuck in yesterday. At some point, political games do not serve the country; they actively undermine the well-being of Canadians.
It’s time for Canadian politicians to get real. For the federal government, that means recommitting to its own carbon-pricing policy and doing a much better job explaining it to Canadians. For all those opponents, it means proposing concrete policy alternatives to achieve Canada’s emissions goals that can be assessed on their merits.
But the status quo is politics divorced from policy. All heat, no light.