From a technical perspective, the stock chart for Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. (CP-T) is encouraging. Earlier this month, the share price experienced a bullish technical signal called a "Golden Cross".
A "Golden Cross" occurs when a short-term moving average, in this case the 50-day moving average, crosses above a longer-term moving average, in this case the 200-day moving average. When this occurs, it marks a potentially positive signal suggesting the upward price momentum may have traction.
Many traders suggest waiting until the 50-day moving average crosses over the 200-day moving average by a certain percentage, such as 3 per cent, to confirm the bullish signal.
The stock faces initial overhead resistance around $200, and after there is resistance around the $210 level.
Should the share price reverse course and drift lower, there is initial downside support around $180, which is close to its 50-day moving average, and failing that, there is support around $175, near its 200-day moving average.
From a fundamental perspective, the Street is forecasting modest upside potential for this stock based on the average one-year target price of $212.47. One-year target prices range from a low of $197 to a high of $249. There is only one target price below $200.
According to Bloomberg, there are 18 "buy" recommendations, nine "hold" recommendations, and one "sell" recommendation. The consensus earnings per share estimate is $10.59 in 2016, and forecast to rise nearly 15 per cent to $12.17 in 2017.
On a valuation basis, according to Bloomberg, the stock is trading at a price-to-earnings multiple of 16 times the 2017 consensus estimate, which is slightly below its historical three-year average multiple of 16.8 times.
Below is a list identifying securities with recent, as well as potential future, Golden Crosses and Death Crosses. The death cross is a potentially bearish signal for a stock that occurs when the shorter-term moving average crosses below the longer-term moving average.
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This report is based on technical analysis. Technical analysis does not replace fundamental analysis, but can help identify companies worth having a closer look at and performing fundamental due diligence research on.
Ticker | Security | 50-day moving avg. | 200-day moving avg. |
---|---|---|---|
Golden Crosses | |||
ALA-T | AltaGas Ltd. | $32.08 | $31.52 |
CP-T | Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. | $179.51 | $175.66 |
FFH-T | Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. | $689.92 | $688.81 |
HWD-T | Hardwoods Distribution Inc. | $17.19 | $17.02 |
SVC-T | Sandvine Corp. | $3.03 | $2.98 |
SJR.B-T | Shaw Communications Inc. | $25.41 | $24.91 |
TCN-T | Tricon Capital Group Inc. | $9.21 | $8.92 |
Potential Future Golden Crosses | |||
ATD.B-T | Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. | $57.05 | $58.32 |
EFX-T | Enerflex Ltd. | $11.28 | $11.66 |
Death Crosses | |||
STN-T | Stantec Inc. | $32.04 | $32.50 |