It’s great to have an all-stock portfolio when markets are booming. It’s not so much fun when shares plummet in value, as they did last week.
I started the IWB Aggressive TFSA Portfolio in March 2012. I stressed at the time, and since, that it is only suitable for readers who want to maximize capital gains in a Tax-Free Savings Account through 100-per-cent exposure to domestic and international stocks. That means you should only invest in it if you are willing to accept a higher degree of risk and volatility.
This month has been a testing time for portfolios like this. But let’s see how it has done over the longer term, since our last review in March. Here’s a look at the securities in the portfolio with some comments on how they have fared since then. Results are as of the close of trading on Oct. 11 (so last Friday’s rally is not factored in).
iShares Core S&P/TSX Capped Composite Index ETF (XIC). This ETF tracks the performance of the S&P/TSX Composite Index. Despite the weak performance of the TSX this year, we were showing a modest capital gain over the latest period until the market started to tumble last Wednesday. As of the close on Oct. 11, the units were down 34 cents for the review period. However, due to timing, we received three quarterly distributions totaling 57.9 cents during that time, so we actually ended up with a small gain.
iShares S&P/TSX Small Cap Index ETF (XCS). Small-cap stocks in Canada have not done well in recent years, and the performance of this ETF reflects that. We lost 60 cents per unit in the period. That was only partially offset by distributions totaling 29.2 cents per unit.
iShares U.S. Small Cap Index ETF (CAD-Hedged) (XSU). U.S. small caps have fared much better than their Canadian counterparts. We didn’t gain any ground in the latest period, but we didn’t lose much either. The units were down by 18 cents, but that was almost compensated for by a June distribution of 15.6 cents per unit.
iShares Core S&P 500 Index ETF (CAD-Hedged) (XSP).We were cruising along very nicely with this one until last week’s big sell-off. Despite that, we’re still up 84 cents since the last review, and we received a semi-annual distribution in June of 22.8 cents per unit.
BMO Nasdaq 100 Equity Hedged to CAD Index ETF (ZQQ). This fund provides exposure to the top 100 stocks on the Nasdaq exchange, which is heavily weighted to technology. This ETF was going gangbusters until last week’s sell-off hit the tech sector hard. The units were trading as high as $58.40 on Oct. 1; by Oct. 11 they were down to $52.80. However, that was still an advance of $1.99 over the price at the last review. This fund only makes distributions in December, so we did not receive any cash flow in the latest period.
iShares MSCI EAFE Index ETF (CAD-Hedged) (XIN). This ETF tracks markets in Europe, Asia, and the Far East. The units are down 20 cents since the last review, but we received a semi-annual distribution of 38 cents per unit in June, so we actually came out marginally ahead.
iShares MSCI Frontier 100 ETF (FM-N). This ETF tracks major companies in Third World countries from Nigeria to Vietnam. We saw some recovery in this sector last year but 2018 has been a rough time for frontier and emerging markets. We lost US$6.97 per unit during the period. There was a mid-year distribution of 80.52 US cents, but that came nowhere near compensating for the price drop.
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM-N). Rising interest rates, trade war fears, and a strong U.S. dollar ended the good run emerging markets had enjoyed. The units posted a loss of US$8.52 in the latest period. We received a mid-year distribution of 28.98 US cents per unit.
We received $8.74 in interest from the cash balance in our EQ Bank high-interest savings account.
Here’s a look at how the portfolio stood at the close of trading on Oct. 11. The Canadian and U.S. dollars are treated at par, and commissions are not taken into account. The percentage in the Gain/Loss column represents the cumulative return since the portfolio was launched or since the security was added. The initial book value was $20,002.30.
Comments: Despite the sell-off we eked out a fractional gain of 0.3 per cent in the latest period. There’s nothing exciting about that except that even with the market stumble we didn’t lose any ground. Of course, if the downtrend should continue this portfolio would be exposed to heavy losses.
Since inception, the portfolio has gained 68.3 per cent, which works out to a compound annual rate of return of 8.34 per cent.
We will invest $243.30 to buy 10 additional units of XIC, to take advantage of the price weakness. That will give us 240 units and reduce the retained income to $35.07.
We’ll also buy another 10 units of XSP for $308.40, for a new total of 220. That will use all the retained earnings in the account. We will take the balance of $18.93 from cash, leaving $2.47.
We have $546.92 in cash and retained earnings, which we will continue to keep in our EQ Bank account at 2.3 per cent.
Here is the revised portfolio. I will revisit it in March.
Gordon Pape is Editor and Publisher of the Internet Wealth Builder and Income Investor newsletters. For more information and details on how to subscribe, go to www.buildingwealth.ca.