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Jim covers the major weather drivers for soybeans, corn, wheat, cocoa, and natural gas.
The cotton market closed with losses of 55 to 133 points across most contracts on Friday, despite USDA calling for a tighter carryout on old crop. The Friday afternoon Commitment of Traders report showed spec adding 11,765 contracts to their new net short position as of 5/7 at 13,699 contracts....
July NY world sugar #11 (SBN24 ) Friday closed down -0.28 (-1.43%), and Aug London ICE white sugar #5 (SWQ24 ) closed down -6.30 (-1.09%). Sugar prices Friday closed lower on a stronger dollar and on carry-over pressure from Thursday when Datagro raised its 2024 Center-South sugar production estimate to...
July ICE NY cocoa (CCN24 ) on Friday closed up +196 (+2.25%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN24 ) closed up +54 (+0.72%). Cocoa prices Friday saw underlying support from global cocoa shortages. The main bearish factor was the forecast by Maxar for some rain showers in West African...
July arabica coffee (KCN24 ) Friday closed down -0.30 (-0.15%), and July ICE robusta coffee (RMN24 ) closed up +1 (+0.03%). July arabica coffee Friday posted a 1-week high but then fell back on some pre-weekend technical selling and the stronger dollar. Coffee prices have underlying support from insufficient rainfall...
The cotton is down 100 to 172 points across most contracts on Friday. The outside market influences are not helpful at midday, as the US dollar index is slightly higher, with crude oil down 82 cents. USDA’s final cotton production estimate was released at 12.07 million bales this morning, as...
July NY world sugar #11 (SBN24 ) today is down -0.24 (-1.23%), and Aug London ICE white sugar #5 (SWQ24 ) is down -5.00 (-0.87%). Sugar prices today are trading lower on a stronger dollar and on carry-over pressure from Thursday when Datagro raised its 2024 Center-South sugar production estimate...
July ICE NY cocoa (CCN24 ) today is up +206 (+2.37%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN24 ) is up +54 (+0.72%). Cocoa prices are seeing underlying support today from global cocoa shortages. Cocoa prices plunged from the mid-April record high to a 2-month low in early-May, but have...
July arabica coffee (KCN24 ) today is down -1.00 (-0.50%), and July ICE robusta coffee (RMN24 ) is up +4 (+0.12%). July arabica coffee today posted a 1-week high but then fell back on some pre-weekend technical selling and the stronger dollar. Coffee prices have underlying support from insufficient rainfall...
The cotton market is trading 77 to 94 points lower as we head into USDA”s first official supply/demand forecast for 2024/25 crop cotton. Futures resumed their slide on Thursday, down 93 to 168 points. That was despite a round of positive export data for the bulls. Cotton limits are back...
The cotton market continued their slide on Thursday, as were down 93 to 168 points on Thursday. That was despite a round of positive export data for the bulls. Cotton limits are back to 3 cents with July slipping back in the 70 cent level. The outside market influences were...
July NY world sugar #11 (SBN24 ) on Thursday closed down -0.02 (-0.10%), and Aug London ICE white sugar #5 (SWQ24 ) closed up +2.70 (+0.47%). Sugar prices Thursday settled mixed. Thursday's action by Datagro to raise its sugar production estimate for Brazil's Center-South region is bearish for sugar prices....
July ICE NY cocoa (CCN24 ) on Thursday closed up +61 (+0.71%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN24 ) closed up +39 (+0.52%). Cocoa prices recovered from early losses on Thursday and posted moderate gains. Extreme volatility in cocoa prices has gripped the market since prices soared to an...
July arabica coffee (KCN24 ) on Thursday closed up +3.90 (+1.97%), and July ICE robusta coffee (RMN24 ) closed up +25 (+0.73%). Coffee prices on Thursday settled moderately higher. Insufficient rainfall in Vietnam and Brazil may lead to lower coffee yields and is supportive for prices. The Buon Ma Thuot...
World sugar futures rose 2.69% in 2023 and were 9.43% higher in Q1 2024. In early Q2, the world sugar futures declined to below 20 cents per pound, the lowest price since early 2023. Given the price action in the other soft commodities, lower sugar prices could be a sweet opportunity.
The cotton market continued to slide, as midday action had futures down 82 to 116 points on Thursday. That is despite a round of positive export data for the bulls. The outside market influences are helpful but ignored, as the US dollar index is down 236 points, with crude oil...
July NY world sugar #11 (SBN24 ) this morning is down -0.06 (-0.31%), and Aug London ICE white sugar #5 (SWQ24 ) is up +1.40 (+0.24%). Sugar prices today are mixed. Today's action by Datagro to raise its sugar production estimate for Brazil's Center-South region is weighing on sugar prices....
July ICE NY cocoa (CCN24 ) this morning is up +36 (+0.42%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN24 ) is up +21 (+0.28%). Cocoa prices this morning recovered from early losses and are moderately higher. Extreme volatility in cocoa prices has gripped the market since prices soared to an...
July arabica coffee (KCN24 ) this morning is up +2.60 (+1.32%), and July ICE robusta coffee (RMN24 ) is up +50 (+1.46%). Coffee prices this morning are moderately higher. Insufficient rainfall in Vietnam and Brazil may lead to lower coffee yields and is bullish for prices. The Buon Ma Thuot...
The cotton market is trading down 93 to 141 Futures shot higher on Wednesday, closing 106 to 256 points higher as May rolled off the board. Cotton daily limits are expanding back to 4 cents (400 pts) due to July creeping back into that 80 cent level. The US dollar...
The cotton market shot higher on Wednesday, with futures closing 106 to 256 points higher as May rolled off the board. Cotton limits are reverting to 4 cents due to July creeping back in that 80 cent level. The US dollar index was up 105 points, a negative input, while...
July NY world sugar #11 (SBN24 ) on Wednesday closed down -0.35 (-1.75%), and Aug London ICE white sugar #5 (SWQ24 ) closed down -12.80 (-2.19%). Sugar prices Wednesday closed moderately lower as a stronger dollar spurred some long liquidation pressure in sugar futures after Tuesday's rally. On Tuesday, sugar...
July ICE NY cocoa (CCN24 ) on Wednesday closed up +24 (+0.28%), and July ICE London cocoa #7 (CAN24 ) closed up +6 (+0.08%). Cocoa prices posted modest gains on Wednesday as a global cocoa shortfall persists. Extreme volatility in cocoa prices has gripped the market since prices soared to...
July arabica coffee (KCN24 ) on Wednesday closed up +0.90 (+0.46%), and July ICE robusta coffee (RMN24 ) closed up +36 (+1.07%). Coffee prices recovered from early losses on Wednesday and posted moderate gains. Forecasts for limited rainfall in Brazil until late next week sparked some short covering in coffee...
July NY world sugar #11 (SBN24 ) this morning is down -0.38 (-1.90%), and Aug London ICE white sugar #5 (SWQ24 ) is down -13.90 (-2.374%). Sugar prices today are moderately lower as a stronger dollar spurred some long liquidation pressure in sugar futures after Tuesday's rally. On Tuesday, sugar...
