Skip to main content

Ferrari N.V.(RACE-N)
NYSE

Today's Change
Real-Time Last Update Last Sale Cboe BZX Real-Time

This Unstoppable Auto Stock Has Tripled in the Last 5 Years: Is It Time to Buy?

Motley Fool - Mon Mar 11, 6:02AM CDT

When thinking about car manufacturers, Tesla will likely come to investors' minds first. Perhaps Detroit automakers like Ford Motor Company or General Motors will also get some attention.

But there's a top automotive stock that has crushed it for shareholders in the past five years that you might not immediately think about. Its shares have more than tripled in value since March 2019. I'm talking about Italian luxury vehicle business Ferrari(NYSE: RACE).

With the stock racing to all-time highs, is it time to buy this massive market outperformer?

Strong fundamental performance

It shouldn't come as a shock that in order for a stock to rise rapidly over the years, the underlying business has to also put up strong financial numbers. This has certainly been the case with Ferrari.

Between 2018 and 2023, Ferrari's sales increased at a compound annual rate of 11.8%. This was despite revenue dipping 8.1% in 2020, when manufacturing was halted temporarily due to the coronavirus pandemic. Other than that disruption, this is a consistent and steady company that benefits from durable demand trends.

When it comes to the bottom line, there's also a lot to be excited about. Ferrari's operating income soared at an annualized pace of 14.4% in the last five years. This points to the various levers that the business can pull on to grow earnings, with changes in volume, pricing, and product mix all being tailwinds.

Even in 2023, when macro and industry pressures impacted electric vehicle (EV) leader Tesla, leading to contracting margins, Ferrari saw its net income rise at a faster clip than revenue.

This is a luxury brand

It's important to understand what exactly makes Ferrari unique in what is otherwise an extremely competitive industry. A valid argument can be made that this business straddles two separate industries. It's certainly a car company, but Ferrari is also a top luxury brand.

That brand is what differentiates this business. And it has led to tremendous pricing power and exclusivity. Not only does someone need to have the cash to buy a $400,000 sports car, but often, they have to join a waiting list to even have the opportunity to buy a new model. Ferrari sold 13,663 units in 2023, an artificially low number that's purely by design to maintain the brand's standing. Lower supply only helps to support higher demand from consumers.

The business has truly exceptional profitability. In the past five years, the gross margin has averaged a superb 50.5%. This is even better than consumer favorite Apple.

Given that Ferrari's target audience is the super wealthy, the company is protected in recessionary periods, especially compared to other car manufacturers that experience bouts of notable cyclicality. There are about 8 million individuals worldwide who have a net worth greater than $5 million. This means that Ferrari has a sizable addressable market to continue selling to, all with the financial means to spend big.

What about the valuation?

From an investment perspective, Ferrari hardly flies under the radar anymore. The shares have seriously rewarded investors in the past. And just in the last 12 months, they have soared 53%.

Based on its forward price-to-earnings ratio of 50, the stock doesn't look cheap by any stretch of the imagination. I'd even say that Ferrari provides zero margin of safety for prospective investors, as all of its favorable attributes look to be fully priced in.

Therefore, I think the best move is to add this business to your watch list, continue following it, and wait for a much more attractive valuation to take advantage of.

Should you invest $1,000 in Ferrari right now?

Before you buy stock in Ferrari, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Ferrari wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than tripled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

See the 10 stocks

*Stock Advisor returns as of March 8, 2024

Neil Patel and his clients have no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple and Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends General Motors and recommends the following options: long January 2025 $25 calls on General Motors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Paid Post: Content produced by Motley Fool. The Globe and Mail was not involved, and material was not reviewed prior to publication.

More from The Globe