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number cruncher

What are we looking for?

Index funds that look under- and overvalued, relative to other index funds.

The screen

The world of passive or index investing has evolved quickly. From traditional region-focused, market-cap-weighted stock indexes to the more exotic “smart beta” ETFs (a hybrid between active and passive management), to those that follow a sector or theme, there is no shortage of options available to the Canadian investor. Given the smorgasbord of different indexes, today I aim to highlight the large discrepancies in valuations, particularly now that market volatility has moved the needle.

To do this, I used Morningstar Direct to screen the universe of Canadian-domiciled ETFs and DIY mutual funds (those that are available through discount brokerages and don’t include a bundled advice fee) for those that invest exclusively in stocks, with the goal to highlight the main price multiples an investor might look at to determine if a portfolio is over- or undervalued. Given that smart beta ETFs may have an inherent and purposeful tilt to value or growth, I’ve excluded these in the analysis. Subsequently, I ranked the 261 remaining index funds across four core multiples (price-to-earnings, price-to-book, price-to-sales, and price-to-cash flow) aggregated at the portfolio level, rewarding those with lower multiples. In the ranking process, I placed an equal weight on all four of the aforementioned price multiples.

What we found

Evaluating equity ETFs

RankNameTickerMorningstar CategoryMER (%)Morningstar Rating for FundsMorningstar Quantitative RatingTotal Ret YTD (%)Total Ret 1 Yr (%)Total Ret Annlzd 3 Yr (%)Total Ret Annlzd 5 Yr (%)Total Ret Annlzd 10 Yr (%)Inception DatePortfolio DatePortfolio P/EarningsPortfolio P/BookPortfolio P/SalesPortfolio P/CF
Undervalued ETFs
1Horizons S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETFHXE-TEnergy Equity0.273 StarsGold1.236.4061.978.672013-09-162023-03-317.711.370.762.04
2iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy ETFXEG-TEnergy Equity0.602 StarsSilver1.146.2061.448.453.282001-03-192023-04-147.721.370.762.05
3iShares S&P/TSX Small Cap ETFXCS-TCanadian Small/Mid Cap Equity0.602 StarsNeutral5.04-13.7522.725.275.702007-05-142023-04-1410.131.080.833.12
4CI WisdomTree Europe Hdg Eq ETFEHE-TEuropean Equity0.734 StarsNeutral18.2814.7916.676.232016-07-122023-03-3110.941.450.804.67
5iShares S&P U.S. Small-Cap ETFXSMC-TUS Small/Mid Cap Equity0.224 StarsBronze0.47-1.9416.842019-09-042023-04-1711.861.490.794.74
6iShares S&P/TSX Completion ETFXMD-TCanadian Small/Mid Cap Equity0.603 StarsNeutral*7.05-2.6416.146.776.412001-03-022023-04-1412.511.350.914.33
7NBI Canadian Family Business ETFNFAM-TCanadian Equity0.405 StarsBronze9.571.7520.692019-01-152023-04-1411.901.440.874.73
8Horizons Canadian Oil &GasEqCovCllETFENCC-TEnergy Equity0.842 StarsBronze1.502.0560.977.31-1.692011-04-112023-03-319.301.610.862.96
9iShares Core MSCI Emer Mkts IMI ETFXEC-TEmerging Markets Equity0.273 StarsBronze*4.64-1.695.160.324.822013-04-102023-04-1411.781.381.015.17
10BMO Equal Weight Oil & Gas ETFZEO-TEnergy Equity0.603 StarsBronze1.692.6944.368.373.122009-10-202023-02-288.931.670.873.04
Overvalued ETFs
101iShares ESG Aware MSCI USA ETFXSUS-TUS Equity0.223 StarsSilver6.860.4211.952019-03-182023-04-1418.733.532.1011.55
103TD U.S. Equity Index ETFTPU-TUS Equity0.074 StarsSilver7.530.9512.1911.822016-03-222023-03-3118.833.482.1411.16
104Evolve Innovation ETFEDGE-TGlobal Equity0.673 StarsBronze12.46-11.7812.332018-04-302023-03-3122.872.783.2013.60
105Desjardins RI USA Low CO2 ETFDRMU-TUS Equity0.233 StarsSilver8.982.2911.162018-09-272023-04-1318.993.592.1112.28
106BMO MSCI USA ESG Leaders ETFESGY-TUS Equity0.234 StarsBronze7.391.3412.142020-01-152023-02-2819.224.032.2912.23
107CI MSCI Wld ESG Ipt ETF CommCESG-TGlobal Equity0.463 StarsBronze8.265.1410.362019-09-122023-03-3123.163.012.5216.14
109BMO NASDAQ 100 Equity ETFZNQ-TUS Equity0.393 StarsBronze18.480.4012.582019-02-122023-02-2822.775.153.2913.93
110Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF CADHQQC.FUS Equity0.204 StarsBronze19.56-6.4613.4813.2516.752011-06-082023-03-3124.895.633.5915.31
111iShares NASDAQ 100 ETF (CAD-Hedged)XQQ-TUS Equity0.394 StarsSilver19.42-6.8413.1813.0416.612011-05-032023-04-1424.805.633.5915.29
114Horizons NASDAQ-100® ETFHXQ.UUS Equity0.284 StarsBronze18.470.6112.7215.912016-04-192023-03-3124.915.643.6015.33

Morningstar Direct | Data as of April 17, 2023. *Denotes Analyst Rating

A top and bottom 10 was then created using the sorted list, and is displayed in the accompanying table alongside tickers, MERs, categories, ratings, inception dates and trailing performance results. Notably, a number of funds that happen to fall near the bottom of the list are technology-focused (including those that follow the Nasdaq-100 Index), and a number of passive ESG-tilted indices.

This article does not constitute financial advice. Investors are encouraged to conduct their own independent research before purchasing any of the investments listed here.

Ian Tam, CFA, is director of investment research for Morningstar Canada.

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